Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa464d4c4a283c8f33c3669e00d745eb32e0d0c218329af79da2b29cf34d7c2fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 25,085$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 15,406$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.28 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 12c | 3,332$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,126$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 14c | 2,108$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 3c | 1,494$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 4c | 1,467$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,391$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,384$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 13c | 1,363$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 1,361$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 14c | 1,358$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 13c | 1,283$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 14c | 482.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 433$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 12c | 427.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Yes | 4c | 357.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 6c | 353.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 216.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed Yes | 10c | 200.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…08cabacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 125.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 14c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.