NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab39085441eee7a29c6cb53e3155697e8ee8ef2d6b05cb5bb781bebcc1a7874f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Hornets | 47c | 62,796$29,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,281.98 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 53c | 55,380$29,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,351.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 53c | 29,475$15,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,644.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Hornets | 47c | 25,214$11,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,363.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hornets | 47c | 7,495$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.2 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 55c | 1,580$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Wizards | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 40c | 982.37$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Hornets | 47c | 850.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 52c | 773$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…1ff8backed Hornets | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Hornets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Hornets | 48c | 444$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.08 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Hornets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 53c | 370.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 53c | 315.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Hornets | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 44c | 209.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed Hornets | 47c | 207.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards | 53c | 202.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 43c | 195.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…de27backed Hornets | 47c | 185.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Wizards | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Hornets | 47c | 146$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards | 55c | 145.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Hornets | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Hornets | 47c | 126.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Wizards | 55c | 124.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Hornets | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 53c | 99.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 57c | 97.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wizards | 55c | 73.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0a31backed Hornets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Wizards | 54c | 57.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Wizards | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Wizards | 54c | 54.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Wizards | 53c | 52.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Wizards | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Hornets | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Wizards | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Hornets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Wizards | 53c | 36.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Wizards | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Hornets | 44c | 34.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 57c | 31.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed Hornets | 47c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Wizards | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Wizards | 53c | 27.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Wizards | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wizards | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Hornets | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Wizards won
- Hornets vs. WizardsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.