NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b4d2a6feb3a3c2b7f90167511db1fce9dc05cd08cf37731dceb44f98d73d1e5

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,306 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	40,885$18,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,102.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	54c	33,612$18,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,211.28	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	48c	13,696$6,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,177.74	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	52c	12,022$6,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,251.64	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Over	50c	12,010$6,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,004.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…e5f3backed Under	50c	12,000$6,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,005	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	9,320$4,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,871.71	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,079.98	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over	51c	7,400$3,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,625.97	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under	53c	6,662$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,299.97	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	51c	4,477$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,283.27	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	3,609$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,957.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	44c	2,714$1,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.96	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under	52c	2,343$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.1	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	46c	1,591$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.76	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over	51c	984.41$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.36	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	967.16$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.46	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over	50c	900$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Under	56c	875$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	800$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	45c	791.11$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.11	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under	52c	769.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	47c	622.11$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.32	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Under	52c	532.69$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under	51c	499.98$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	47c	469$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.57	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	47c	351.46$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.18	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	46c	302.8$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.47	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Under	51c	199.98$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	55c	167.97$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.08	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	44c	136.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.54	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Under	52c	136.1$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Over	44c	115.26$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.55	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	50c	100.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	51c	100.04$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.35	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	54c	93.7$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.1	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under	54c	81.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	44c	74.8$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.89	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Over	50c	71.23$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.62	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under	52c	67.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	51c	60.78$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.78	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	60.17$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.49	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	227	56.8%129 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e0…ee84backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	53c	50.27$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3f…8cd6backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-6.7wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over	47c	44.56$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…6324backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over	44c	36.9$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.66	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Over	49c	36.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	77	26%20 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa738…a520backed Under	54c	36.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe236…cfcdbacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bef…7c26backed Over	51c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	48c	24.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc62…ba48backed Over	45c	24.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…798fbacked Over	51c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Under	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	168	52.4%88 W · 80 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc3…baddbacked Over	51c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x150b…b039backed Over	51c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cec…238fbacked Over	51c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over	51c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x471a…6bf0backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Wizards won
Hornets vs. WizardsHornets won
Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event