NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9292847ca497cb743f7a05734c04ff38d4f4ed5d2f7bdc1fb242e0ca8d2500dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wizards | 46c | 202,275$93,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,589.51 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hornets | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 54c | 31,250$16,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,375 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 53c | 27,761$14,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,952.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Hornets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards | 50c | 7,752$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.13 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Wizards | 52c | 6,812$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 48c | 6,273$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Hornets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 51c | 4,463$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 52c | 4,000$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.04 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets | 53c | 3,170$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Hornets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 53c | 2,688$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Hornets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 53c | 1,903$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…b327backed Hornets | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 47c | 1,871$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 50c | 1,855$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 45c | 1,512$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wizards | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hornets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 53c | 975.27$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets | 55c | 898.54$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.34 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Hornets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Wizards | 13c | 722$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Hornets | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wizards | 47c | 514$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Wizards | 59c | 503.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Wizards | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 49c | 447.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 45c | 441.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 54c | 433.45$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Hornets | 54c | 371.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 56c | 357.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 52c | 347.56$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 52c | 285$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets | 54c | 281.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets | 41c | 280.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Wizards | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wizards | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Wizards | 45c | 169.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 48c | 160.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 44c | 158.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Wizards | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Wizards | 47c | 107.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets | 48c | 105.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Wizards | 53c | 102.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Hornets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Hornets | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 47c | 96.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Wizards | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Wizards | 52c | 93.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hornets | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 50c | 84.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 50c | 83.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Hornets | 52c | 79.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Hornets | 69c | 72.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Wizards | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hornets | 49c | 69.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b82…3541backed Wizards | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Wizards | 51c | 66.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Hornets | 53c | 57.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Hornets | 64c | 55.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wizards | 49c | 51.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Hornets | 49c | 50.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Hornets | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 52c | 47.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hornets | 49c | 44.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Wizards | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Hornets | 51c | 39.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wizards | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Hornets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Hornets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Hornets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Hornets | 55c | 35.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Hornets | 54c | 32.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Hornets | 49c | 27.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Hornets | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Hornets | 53c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Wizards | 46c | 22.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Wizards won
- Hornets vs. WizardsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.