TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Wizards46c202,275$93,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,589.5187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Hornets54c90,000$48,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,40024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets54c31,250$16,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,37551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets53c27,761$14,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,952.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Hornets53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards50c7,752$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,876.1327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Wizards52c6,812$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,513.491526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets48c6,273$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Hornets51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets51c4,463$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets52c4,000$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.041,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets53c3,170$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Hornets50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5006939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets53c2,688$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Hornets53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets53c1,903$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4b…b327backed Hornets53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.291315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-72.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards47c1,871$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.222,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets50c1,855$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hornets53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards45c1,512$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Hornets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.173649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets53c975.27$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets55c898.54$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.341,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Hornets50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3136449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Wizards13c722$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards45c660$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Hornets50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Hornets55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4519359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Wizards47c514$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Wizards59c503.8$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2968657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Hornets50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Wizards51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25521440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards49c447.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards45c441.91$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets54c433.45$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Hornets54c371.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.718438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets56c357.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.681,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets52c347.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards52c285$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets54c281.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets41c280.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.281,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets50c268$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards52c260$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Wizards49c244.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Hornets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Wizards51c198$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9866153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Wizards51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5781845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Wizards45c169.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets48c160.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards44c158.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.091,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.961,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9c…8158backed Wizards45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501816.7%3 W · 15 L-6.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Wizards47c107.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets48c105.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9937850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Wizards53c102.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Hornets54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Hornets54c99.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards47c96.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.113,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Wizards47c94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.188350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Wizards52c93.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.769458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hornets56c89.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets50c84.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards50c83.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.853,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Hornets52c79.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Hornets69c72.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Wizards52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.210022%22 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hornets49c69.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.321,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b82…3541backed Wizards52c69.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Wizards51c66.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9135551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Hornets53c57.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.043545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Hornets64c55.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.188263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Wizards49c51.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.151,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Hornets49c50.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6329352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Hornets51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards52c47.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.833,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hornets49c44.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Wizards48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Hornets51c39.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2611759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wizards36c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Hornets54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0411258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Hornets56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Hornets56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7124150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Hornets55c35.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Hornets54c32.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Hornets49c27.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2116369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e2f…1adfbacked Hornets51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.236943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Hornets53c22.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Wizards46c22.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2930151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.