NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36b9b45313762d574734220afcc6b315a8cdbb10502950c6bfd037b2bf2fa3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 51c | 42,901$21,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,131.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 49c | 29,550$14,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,479.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 50c | 20,008$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,908.74 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,486$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6015…0eb3backed Over | 52c | 5,522$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 5,125$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…4097backed Under | 48c | 4,887$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…875abacked Under | 48c | 4,323$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,293$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 3,779$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.06 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…f9a9backed Over | 52c | 3,688$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 3,160$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.4 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 2,060$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,465$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.27 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,056$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.69 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 52c | 989.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 879$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…1888backed Under | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 599.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…2868backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…916dbacked Under | 51c | 585.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 49c | 517.03$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 410.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…b4f6backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 381.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 49c | 339.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 266.79$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 49c | 178$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 140.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 99.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 98.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…de27backed Under | 49c | 88.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…da6bbacked Over | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed Under | 50c | 74.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 66.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over | 52c | 60.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 48c | 46.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…aca5backed Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…c90cbacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…5392backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NetsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.