NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d5b5c4bf8e577323a439c84a8f4c043f5ecdc744d7ca8bf1ceba9e0cf35a93d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 70,528$33,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,674.49 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 52c | 58,657$30,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,501.65 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mavericks | 48c | 7,758$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.16 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 52c | 5,561$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Nets | 53c | 4,800$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Mavericks | 47c | 4,751$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.28 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 45c | 4,307$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.79 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 52c | 3,658$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Nets | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Nets | 53c | 1,537$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.49 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Nets | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.32per pick | 37cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 52c | 791.02$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nets | 52c | 641.89$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.78 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Nets | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 56c | 482.56$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Mavericks | 46c | 434.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets | 55c | 395.41$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 45c | 318.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 310.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Nets | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks | 45c | 294.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets | 52c | 289.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Mavericks | 46c | 268$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mavericks | 45c | 266.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 45c | 265$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 248.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 45c | 207.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 46c | 169.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Mavericks | 48c | 157.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Nets | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Nets | 54c | 123.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mavericks | 44c | 117.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Nets | 56c | 114.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Mavericks | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 46c | 104.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Mavericks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Nets | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Nets | 54c | 99.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 45c | 96.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Mavericks | 47c | 87.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 47c | 75.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nets | 57c | 67.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Mavericks | 46c | 65.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Mavericks | 46c | 62.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Nets | 53c | 58.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Nets | 53c | 56.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Nets | 53c | 53.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Nets | 54c | 49.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Mavericks | 46c | 48.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Nets | 53c | 47.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Mavericks | 55c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Nets | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Nets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 36.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Nets | 54c | 36.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Mavericks | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Nets | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Nets | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Mavericks | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Nets | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nets | 55c | 25.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Mavericks | 53c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Nets | 54c | 23.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets | 53c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NetsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.