NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0b444f65a00d0490f4eb1b1d1131d82d70f76e902911a20cb66c98ce5b8ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 16,481$8,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.43 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…a534backed Under | 49c | 13,857$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 11,020$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…2265backed Over | 49c | 5,955$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…3282backed Over | 49c | 5,855$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 5,767$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.31 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…e495backed Over | 49c | 5,700$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…1d4fbacked Under | 51c | 5,666$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…02c1backed Under | 51c | 5,604$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…e80dbacked Over | 49c | 5,545$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…5c78backed Under | 51c | 5,522$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,271$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…7459backed Under | 51c | 5,211$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…8596backed Over | 49c | 5,200$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…38dbbacked Under | 51c | 5,141$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…8667backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…96b8backed Under | 51c | 4,922$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…ac09backed Over | 49c | 4,855$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…37cfbacked Under | 51c | 4,756$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…77d0backed Over | 49c | 4,722$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…fc88backed Over | 49c | 4,622$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…e5b4backed Under | 51c | 4,610$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…d649backed Over | 49c | 4,455$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…8791backed Under | 51c | 4,355$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…f8efbacked Under | 51c | 4,321$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…2250backed Under | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…a66dbacked Over | 49c | 4,255$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1435…b1b1backed Over | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…eec3backed Over | 49c | 4,122$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 4,062$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…59ecbacked Over | 49c | 4,055$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ec…835bbacked Over | 49c | 4,032$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…d159backed Over | 49c | 4,022$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…6d44backed Under | 51c | 3,988$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…eba4backed Under | 51c | 3,956$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3898…7869backed Under | 51c | 3,899$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…a806backed Under | 51c | 3,811$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…517ebacked Under | 51c | 3,766$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…4626backed Over | 49c | 3,722$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…5dd6backed Under | 51c | 3,655$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…ac22backed Over | 49c | 3,655$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…4f34backed Over | 49c | 3,455$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…27dcbacked Over | 49c | 3,455$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…2d26backed Under | 51c | 3,366$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6d…068fbacked Under | 51c | 3,355$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…06e5backed Over | 49c | 3,322$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 35c | 1,708$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 1,641$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,468$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,273$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,043$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 401$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 246.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 48c | 161.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 26c | 143.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 49c | 130.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 98.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 97.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 85.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 66c | 74.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 52c | 69.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 22c | 61.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 50c | 50.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 29c | 49.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 47c | 43.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 36c | 41.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed Over | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…8f07backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 51c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edf…97a1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NetsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.