NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3186dce175a85c85b67c7c16183029eb01ab2972e34b896e83d41f435b06d4ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nets | 51c | 263,005$134,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,725.95 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 49c | 63,139$30,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,204.58 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 50c | 40,120$20,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,090.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 48c | 26,176$12,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,611.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 22,500$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Mavericks | 50c | 22,437$11,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,218.73 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 18,952$9,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,375.25 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,721$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 5,580$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Nets | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 48c | 2,919$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,725$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,528$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,324$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,316$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,311$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nets | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Nets | 51c | 981.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nets | 26c | 793.28$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 66c | 778.46$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Nets | 51c | 409.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Mavericks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nets | 51c | 319.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 48c | 276.03$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nets | 51c | 219.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 52c | 211.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nets | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 192.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…447abacked Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nets | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Mavericks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 144.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Nets | 30c | 137.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Mavericks | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Mavericks | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Mavericks | 51c | 124.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 50c | 109.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Nets | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Mavericks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Nets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Mavericks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 16c | 88.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mavericks | 68c | 86.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nets | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 50c | 65.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Mavericks | 52c | 64.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nets | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Mavericks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Mavericks | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Mavericks | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Mavericks | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Mavericks | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Nets | 50c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Nets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Mavericks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Mavericks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 41c | 46.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Mavericks | 50c | 43.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Nets | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Nets | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Nets | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…1ab8backed Nets | 49c | 34.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ccf1backed Mavericks | 52c | 33.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…4cdcbacked Mavericks | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Mavericks | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…98babacked Nets | 49c | 27.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Mavericks | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets | 50c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Mavericks | 49c | 24.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Nets | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Nets | 51c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Nets | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Mavericks | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Mavericks | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NetsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.