NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd561ecd50a4febc502f516c10593a144e542459f3a4e9e81fe6c97cf19773c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 5,377$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.22 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…1c7fbacked Over | 56c | 4,322$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…1f58backed Under | 44c | 3,822$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…bd7fbacked Under | 44c | 3,530$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 3,341$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…5b2cbacked Over | 56c | 3,030$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 2,070$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,098$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 26c | 943.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 74c | 780.37$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 552.62$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Over | 53c | 279.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 274$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Over | 52c | 227.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 147.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 56c | 142.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 38c | 135$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 69c | 115.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 110.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 58c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 44c | 107.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Under | 26c | 81.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 57c | 52.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 51.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Under | 44c | 49.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 43c | 46.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 40c | 42.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 74c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…aaefbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43b…7bc6backed Under | 48c | 33.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe849…45c5backed Over | 53c | 31.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…492ebacked Over | 53c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…b14dbacked Under | 48c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 24.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 223.5this page
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NetsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.