NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59734ac8911a14b98bdec44b66320dbdf868c5ea0242c11e2abde6ccf8feb82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flames | 40c | 142,667$56,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,590.13 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 80,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 53,322$33,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,264.23 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Flames | 38c | 52,386$19,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,906.73 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 45c | 40,000$17,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,199.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 61c | 39,897$24,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,559.68 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Golden Knights | 60c | 27,370$16,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,826.81 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Flames | 72c | 14,885$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,714.44 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Flames | 39c | 10,643$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.58 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 48c | 8,532$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.67 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 53c | 8,023$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.81 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flames | 39c | 7,024$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.37 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Flames | 39c | 6,352$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.27 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Golden Knights | 34c | 6,337$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.17 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Flames | 39c | 6,056$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.84 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 69c | 5,212$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 5,032$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.79 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 5,013$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.06 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flames | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Golden Knights | 45c | 4,630$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.77 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 42c | 4,222$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.93 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 4,156$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Flames | 39c | 3,400$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.97 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Flames | 34c | 3,164$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Golden Knights | 78c | 2,931$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.63 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Flames | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 39c | 2,706$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.24 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 41c | 2,622$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.21 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 39c | 2,225$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.71 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Flames | 39c | 2,200$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Flames | 53c | 2,027$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.29 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Golden Knights | 33c | 1,953$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 71c | 1,919$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.49 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 1,838$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc777…147bbacked Flames | 40c | 1,837$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flames | 38c | 1,687$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…fd5abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 1,655$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…82ecbacked Flames | 40c | 1,655$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…4c3bbacked Flames | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…3428backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,650$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…5340backed Flames | 40c | 1,629$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…a984backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,629$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 56c | 1,598$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.28 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 65c | 1,417$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.3 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…50f0backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,387$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed Flames | 40c | 1,387$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 7c | 1,257$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 38c | 1,200$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 54c | 1,160$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,148$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Flames | 74c | 1,139$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.23 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 60c | 1,119$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.93 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Flames | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flames | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Flames | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…d623backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…9b81backed Flames | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…7e26backed Flames | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4106…ddcdbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Flames | 40c | 989.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Flames | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…1fafbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 754.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Flames | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flames | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…bcb6backed Flames | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Golden Knights | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Golden Knights | 37c | 734.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 60c | 720.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flames | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Flames | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 622$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.62 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Flames | 11c | 555$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 41c | 527.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flames | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Flames | 70c | 429.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Flames | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…413abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 393.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Flames | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…4a3bbacked Flames | 40c | 342.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Golden Knights | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…fee6backed Golden Knights | 62c | 332.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…1ec7backed Golden Knights | 30c | 330.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…c26cbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…c743backed Golden Knights | 62c | 320.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 39c | 317.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6c…911abacked Golden Knights | 62c | 314.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…0513backed Flames | 39c | 312.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…74edbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Flames | 9c | 289.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Flames | 64c | 284.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Flamesthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.