TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$626,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$629,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Over46c448,829$206,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,266.52969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under54c203,970$110,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,888.349748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c86,393$49,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,490.434,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c80,498$42,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,208.731,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,099.999743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under56c23,075$12,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,240.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over40c20,910$8,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,371.1411345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under55c16,364$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,363.642548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c15,650$8,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.843,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under55c13,376$7,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.073246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under54c11,145$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.653946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.953946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c10,202$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.682,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under56c10,167$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over45c9,934$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.095152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under56c9,627$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.1520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over45c9,244$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.888334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c8,374$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.1350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…a91ebacked Under55c8,364$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c8,100$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.0964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2208041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ace…ea51backed Under55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over41c4,999$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32c4…4e39backed Under54c4,100$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3807353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over46c2,719$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.123148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over35c2,624$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.989629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c2,292$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.9528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under71c2,092$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.561,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9204245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over46c2,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under55c1,954$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.6830749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Over47c1,921$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.11145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under55c1,820$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8193161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c1,579$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under9c1,281$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.676839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over41c1,220$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.492040%8 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over46c1,008$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.684663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Over45c999.19$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.641428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c991$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7720159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over14c899.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.933847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ea…4558backed Over3c645.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under58c571.39$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2311354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c552.65$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6932545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22519344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9670…6589backed Under6c500$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c474.83$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.811,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under54c452.12$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over28c441.28$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.328732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over21c426.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4933949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under55c426$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9823250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over46c417.47$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under78c383.02$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6927850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under56c382.14$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.146460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under71c346.48$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.482850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6578…cdadbacked Over45c329.42$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over8c311.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.055152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under55c299.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0212951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over46c292.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.521471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c282.55$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9711154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under55c231.29$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.284949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over45c221.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.785944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over14c211$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.794540%18 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under55c203.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9813648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c1…d83dbacked Over46c191.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under55c190.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.826144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under54c184.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under55c180.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.271758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under55c173.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.558155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c172.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.371,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c40…879bbacked Under56c169.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…6dfdbacked Under56c157.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under56c152.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over22c145.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under66c144.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.022339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over46c137.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.445759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Under55c137.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.