La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15e90dd0ffaebe5131ccfd238c86d671b379cf1ff88a7b9937a425ffb5283d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 23c | 24,879$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.08 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 13,748$10,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 77c | 3,121$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.52 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2bc6backed Over | 24c | 452.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 77c | 301.93$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 23c | 217.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 8c | 139.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 77c | 76.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 19c | 61.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…00c8backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…8249backed Over | 25c | 45.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 76c | 44.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 77c | 26.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 77c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Under | 77c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.