TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c11,313$5,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,955.394,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over50c9,700$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8504235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under34c8,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over72c1,688$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.644663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c1,541$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.542,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c1,275$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.543,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over34c1,250$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.899629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4813070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over38c1,100$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6821450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c999.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6323255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over14c900$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7747719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under29c867.56$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over22c849.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.832646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e5…6f7abacked Over71c781.66$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.234445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2312875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over37c679.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.153847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over22c667.36$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.623043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Over38c565$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15531745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c407.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.81,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over60c401.58$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.037852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over28c322.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.512653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over72c315.49$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.372669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under29c314.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over29c300$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2124540%18 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7817458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over48c262.16$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over48c255$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.711947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under77c253.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3922357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over14c214.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2938748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Over15c197.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.971040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over32c194$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.757252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over11c174.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7511354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c166.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over58c163.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.794768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.897855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d93…d870backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c149.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4630842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c144.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.631,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over71c139.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c136.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.991,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9670…6589backed Under8c132.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.322553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Under31c128$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.681030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+92.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over42c119.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.042770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over25c117$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7510634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…6c1abacked Over38c116.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over12c110.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.813457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over38c110$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.26445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over38c107.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4414850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2611741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over51c98.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.035343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over36c97.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.223461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Over27c86.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.591145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over72c83.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over24c79.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.958170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over71c70.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8417455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4232145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over34c69.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.044843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb61a…fc78backed Over24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3411651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under69c55.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4927850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over38c54.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under65c53.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over26c51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7519247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over24c50.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.515147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4520441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over38c44.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4418656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under29c41.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0830749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66475%48 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fc…9e5fbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over66c39.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.542821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-65%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.332444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Over59c28.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.692065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.179071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.