NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe87f0cc084c74d50b86f3c802442508ebe6f51e673912436407f44dcc974ae8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Senators, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $663,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,086 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sabres | 50c | 203,914$101,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,061.97 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Senators | 50c | 105,956$52,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,978.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 51c | 100,513$51,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,340.2 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Senators | 50c | 56,035$28,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,137.48 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres | 49c | 41,198$20,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,931.9 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Senators | 50c | 25,555$12,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,777.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 50c | 23,761$11,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,908.38 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 53c | 17,764$9,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.94 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 47c | 14,077$6,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,448.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 49c | 10,395$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265.2 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Sabres | 51c | 10,392$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.19 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Senators | 54c | 8,573$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 51c | 7,643$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.87 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Sabres | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 50c | 7,272$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.94 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 50c | 6,996$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.12 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Sabres | 50c | 6,800$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Senators | 52c | 6,794$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Senators | 50c | 6,567$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sabres | 53c | 6,334$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.17 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9f…e074backed Senators | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Senators | 50c | 5,391$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.39 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Sabres | 46c | 5,222$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Senators | 53c | 5,009$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…8b67backed Sabres | 47c | 4,700$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sabres | 47c | 4,538$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.69 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sabres | 46c | 4,456$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.25 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 54c | 4,361$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…e72dbacked Sabres | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed Senators | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators | 53c | 3,898$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.91 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…71c6backed Senators | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Sabres | 47c | 3,365$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.31 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…50b5backed Sabres | 47c | 3,295$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Senators | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Sabres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Senators | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0b…a933backed Senators | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…7db1backed Senators | 53c | 2,614$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Sabres | 49c | 2,555$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.05 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…8121backed Sabres | 50c | 2,520$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeab…91fcbacked Senators | 50c | 2,520$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Sabres | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Sabres | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…201cbacked Senators | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2b…2ae0backed Sabres | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sabres | 47c | 2,386$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.94 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Sabres | 49c | 2,321$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.74 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 49c | 2,312$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.26 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Sabres | 46c | 2,280$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.19 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…d32ebacked Sabres | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Sabres | 49c | 1,999$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.96 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Senators | 51c | 1,958$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.07 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Senators | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 47c | 1,784$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.02 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 48c | 1,780$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,757$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Senators | 52c | 1,748$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.94 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Senators | 54c | 1,721$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…64f2backed Sabres | 47c | 1,721$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…0c0ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…8ad2backed Senators | 53c | 1,699$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9eefbacked Sabres | 48c | 1,699$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3c15backed Senators | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Sabres | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…241dbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 51c | 1,500$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.44 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…cf2ebacked Sabres | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked Sabres | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Sabres | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Senators | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb312…843dbacked Senators | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Senators | 52c | 1,340$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Senators | 10c | 1,338$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Sabres | 44c | 1,256$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.46 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Senators | 5c | 1,254$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eed…a6ffbacked Senators | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…66c9backed Sabres | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Sabres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Sabres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Senators | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Sabres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Sabres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 47c | 999.99$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…69a6backed Senators | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…2b8ebacked Sabres | 46c | 999$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Sabresthis page
- Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.