NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947d3d6a2c0134e7307409d514364ba51384804c79132d48302602440333774c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Lightning | 52c | 58,237$30,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,515.14 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Lightning | 53c | 20,082$10,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers | 47c | 19,470$9,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,318.85 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lightning | 39c | 18,754$7,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.32 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 47c | 17,648$8,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,389.91 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lightning | 51c | 11,247$5,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.8 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lightning | 52c | 10,761$5,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.69 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Panthers | 49c | 10,199$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.89 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 47c | 10,100$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Panthers | 47c | 10,007$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,303.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…6b89backed Lightning | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…a702backed Panthers | 47c | 9,500$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Panthers | 46c | 9,023$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.42 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Lightning | 5c | 8,900$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 54c | 8,369$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.5 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Panthers | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers | 47c | 6,260$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.7 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Panthers | 50c | 6,052$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.6 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Panthers | 66c | 5,150$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.5 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Lightning | 54c | 5,050$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Panthers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 47c | 4,659$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.41 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Panthers | 47c | 3,642$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 47c | 3,507$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.7 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 48c | 3,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Lightning | 1c | 3,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 64c | 3,162$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.99 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Panthers | 63c | 2,672$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.21 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 47c | 2,576$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.26 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Panthers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 68c | 2,114$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Panthers | 46c | 2,049$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lightning | 53c | 1,869$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Lightning | 3c | 1,848$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 47c | 1,824$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers | 46c | 1,736$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.42 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,694$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Panthers | 49c | 1,486$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.65 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lightning | 36c | 1,475$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.13 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Panthers | 47c | 1,358$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.92 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…0086backed Lightning | 5c | 1,300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Lightning | 37c | 1,200$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Panthers | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Lightning | 54c | 1,053$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Panthers | 48c | 1,013$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.01 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Panthers | 47c | 1,008$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.34 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Lightning | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8d08backed Panthers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…66ddbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Panthers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed Lightning | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Panthers | 46c | 899.2$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Panthers | 47c | 882.34$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.64 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers | 49c | 807.3$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.37 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…e8dcbacked Panthers | 48c | 802.13$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lightning | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 26c | 734.27$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.89 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Lightning | 53c | 730.19$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…5baabacked Lightning | 20c | 706.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Lightning | 53c | 694.54$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lightning | 54c | 694.44$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…0b10backed Panthers | 49c | 681.76$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lightning | 3c | 664$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 47c | 660$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 47c | 620$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.6 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Panthers | 55c | 601.73$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lightning | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 62c | 543.63$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Panthers | 47c | 521.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…8f85backed Lightning | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…7008backed Panthers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Panthers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Panthers | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Panthers | 67c | 421.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Lightning | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Panthers | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Lightning | 31c | 382.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Lightning | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Lightning | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Panthers | 45c | 349.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Panthers | 47c | 328.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Panthers | 45c | 325$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Panthers | 49c | 324$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Lightning | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2155backed Lightning | 53c | 290.57$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Panthers | 47c | 281.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Lightning | 31c | 280$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Lightning | 54c | 279.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…181bbacked Panthers | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Panthers | 46c | 213.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Panthers | 46c | 212.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.