MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aece9e8358045e7bde82a2ee03187d13a9a481aac49ac090e74315ee7e08ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Mets, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 46c | 192,408$88,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,098.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 54c | 131,000$70,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,740 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nationals | 46c | 34,051$15,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,387.53 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 54c | 23,000$12,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,420 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 54c | 17,053$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 54c | 9,750$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 54c | 9,500$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 46c | 8,271$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 55c | 7,940$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.94 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mets | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 54c | 7,115$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.1 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mets | 41c | 6,807$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 26c | 5,995$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mets | 48c | 5,877$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.53 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 55c | 5,276$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.96 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mets | 36c | 5,037$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.37 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Nationals | 45c | 5,020$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nationals | 45c | 4,904$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.29 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mets | 54c | 4,158$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.32 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Mets | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 55c | 3,874$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 38c | 3,662$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 42c | 3,335$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.45 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Nationals | 69c | 2,935$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 45c | 2,480$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.34 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 28c | 2,451$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.56 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 54c | 2,288$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.52 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mets | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Mets | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 37c | 1,924$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.45 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 19c | 1,642$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 77c | 1,250$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.18 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 54c | 1,119$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3984backed Nationals | 43c | 1,093$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mets | 24c | 1,088$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 44c | 1,065$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.37 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Mets | 57c | 1,054$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed Mets | 57c | 1,046$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…c477backed Nationals | 43c | 1,007$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Mets | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.51 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 42c | 900.42$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.31 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mets | 37c | 788.65$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Mets | 55c | 749.53$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.24 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 37c | 641.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 57c | 584.17$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 55c | 545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 46c | 529.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Mets | 16c | 499.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Nationals | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 56c | 415.02$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Mets | 55c | 410.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 58c | 372.41$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Nationals | 80c | 348.48$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 55c | 333.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Nationals | 69c | 300.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…79d2backed Mets | 55c | 282$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Mets | 56c | 231$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Mets | 25c | 228.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 56c | 228$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 33c | 203.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nationals | 14c | 200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…fda7backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…b7ccbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Nationalsthis page
- Mets vs. Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Mets (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.