Us Politics · resolved market
Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e07d28fc57cf979bb6b09fa7ca9e7530c86fa5ac16bf0171a53d58cfd420e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,633,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,478,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,633,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf594…ba03backed Yes | 1c | 196,013$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…6d7fbacked Yes | 1c | 195,066$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…84d1backed Yes | 1c | 168,829$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5c…154dbacked Yes | 1c | 165,321$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…332abacked Yes | 1c | 161,800$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa959…bf68backed Yes | 1c | 160,940$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…8ecbbacked Yes | 1c | 158,810$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…8fc2backed Yes | 1c | 154,794$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…988bbacked Yes | 1c | 154,065$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…8aefbacked Yes | 1c | 153,093$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01e…aa66backed Yes | 1c | 148,065$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…aa87backed Yes | 1c | 147,836$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…3493backed Yes | 1c | 143,906$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…ecc6backed Yes | 1c | 140,618$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…3208backed Yes | 1c | 139,974$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…9981backed Yes | 1c | 139,711$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b6…c12ebacked Yes | 1c | 139,668$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…f317backed Yes | 1c | 138,151$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09e…f519backed Yes | 1c | 137,416$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…9332backed Yes | 1c | 136,755$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af8…7321backed Yes | 1c | 136,116$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…7ec6backed Yes | 1c | 133,651$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…56fdbacked Yes | 1c | 131,916$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd370…d501backed Yes | 1c | 130,164$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3c…ed36backed Yes | 1c | 129,374$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…5a97backed Yes | 1c | 129,360$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bb…853dbacked Yes | 1c | 129,246$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c3…244ebacked Yes | 1c | 128,710$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…e1fcbacked Yes | 1c | 128,491$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec0…05dfbacked Yes | 1c | 127,529$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…2ce8backed Yes | 1c | 127,234$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…1495backed Yes | 1c | 125,091$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81cd…860ebacked Yes | 1c | 123,819$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab84…e24abacked Yes | 1c | 121,965$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…3d24backed Yes | 1c | 121,606$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…ca27backed Yes | 1c | 121,294$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…17a7backed Yes | 1c | 121,066$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…2b9abacked Yes | 1c | 121,034$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…5b60backed Yes | 1c | 120,720$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…2845backed Yes | 1c | 120,628$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…f86fbacked Yes | 1c | 119,755$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…d854backed Yes | 1c | 119,410$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…8ec0backed Yes | 1c | 119,290$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…c1b6backed Yes | 1c | 117,539$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…bcbfbacked Yes | 1c | 116,788$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…54eebacked Yes | 1c | 116,296$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…2a22backed Yes | 1c | 115,438$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…4abebacked Yes | 1c | 115,375$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…1e62backed Yes | 1c | 115,265$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b9…f140backed Yes | 1c | 115,118$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…594fbacked Yes | 1c | 112,659$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…7f96backed Yes | 1c | 112,395$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9b…b970backed Yes | 1c | 111,919$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…a1a7backed Yes | 1c | 111,460$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…4ed3backed Yes | 1c | 111,305$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…30efbacked Yes | 1c | 111,190$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…32b9backed Yes | 1c | 110,433$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5d…b7a2backed Yes | 1c | 109,336$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…20a6backed Yes | 1c | 108,459$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…3120backed Yes | 1c | 108,228$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c40…2cefbacked Yes | 1c | 108,049$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…6a85backed Yes | 1c | 107,920$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…37d7backed Yes | 1c | 107,759$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552a…ca2dbacked Yes | 1c | 106,810$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…506abacked Yes | 1c | 106,080$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa9…8b6bbacked Yes | 1c | 104,889$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…6d62backed Yes | 1c | 104,829$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…e76abacked Yes | 1c | 103,851$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…a8d7backed Yes | 1c | 102,231$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ea…a7b8backed Yes | 1c | 102,135$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752b…bd71backed Yes | 1c | 102,106$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…dbf7backed Yes | 1c | 101,815$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…bf02backed Yes | 1c | 101,616$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3628…ac32backed Yes | 1c | 101,191$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…5e46backed Yes | 1c | 100,820$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…ce1cbacked Yes | 1c | 100,375$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…2288backed Yes | 1c | 99,881$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…18cfbacked Yes | 1c | 98,890$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…1462backed Yes | 1c | 98,131$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…a5e7backed Yes | 1c | 97,900$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…b947backed Yes | 1c | 97,609$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…8dc4backed Yes | 1c | 97,398$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…c7b1backed Yes | 1c | 97,336$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…874abacked Yes | 1c | 97,126$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…299fbacked Yes | 1c | 96,808$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…cf81backed Yes | 1c | 96,333$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7a…ae67backed Yes | 1c | 95,681$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…667dbacked Yes | 1c | 95,341$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…0df3backed Yes | 1c | 95,340$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…950ebacked Yes | 1c | 94,968$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6deabacked Yes | 1c | 94,509$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…f112backed Yes | 1c | 93,749$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…55a3backed Yes | 1c | 93,581$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…c9cbbacked Yes | 1c | 92,931$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…161fbacked Yes | 1c | 92,794$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…beb1backed Yes | 1c | 92,650$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…0b0cbacked Yes | 1c | 92,503$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…eb9abacked Yes | 1c | 91,868$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…7dc2backed Yes | 1c | 91,348$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…132ebacked Yes | 1c | 91,280$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?this page
- Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Byron Donalds be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes won
- Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Steve Scalise be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Thomas Massie be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.