Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc48215384852516beb6b234237ad5ed9cec0f7ba1836fb2f06791b3d05294073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,724,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $851,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,724,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 358,137$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.29 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 39,223$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.47 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 36,713$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…93c7backed Yes | 1c | 32,671$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c6…ebefbacked Yes | 2c | 28,441$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…6dfabacked Yes | 1c | 27,151$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…0cc6backed Yes | 1c | 25,566$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…5891backed Yes | 1c | 25,311$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…d7b6backed Yes | 1c | 25,276$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…b5a1backed Yes | 1c | 25,150$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked Yes | 1c | 24,486$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d36…e645backed Yes | 1c | 23,914$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…fecebacked Yes | 1c | 23,853$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…ea82backed Yes | 1c | 23,830$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…f620backed Yes | 1c | 23,803$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…659fbacked Yes | 1c | 23,569$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…212dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,374$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…4b2dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,371$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…645ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,050$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…40f0backed Yes | 1c | 18,831$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959c…4574backed Yes | 1c | 18,794$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…f62ebacked Yes | 1c | 18,771$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…a324backed Yes | 1c | 18,747$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…309fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,664$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5adbbacked Yes | 1c | 18,640$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda5…d612backed Yes | 1c | 18,591$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ec…85a9backed Yes | 1c | 18,011$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…0d74backed Yes | 1c | 17,870$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…4e2abacked Yes | 1c | 17,839$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601b…b419backed Yes | 1c | 17,761$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…34acbacked Yes | 1c | 17,739$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…e164backed Yes | 1c | 17,727$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…138abacked Yes | 1c | 17,663$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…16f0backed Yes | 1c | 17,641$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…0469backed Yes | 1c | 17,520$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…1f57backed Yes | 1c | 17,506$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52b…86bcbacked Yes | 1c | 17,391$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…35d9backed Yes | 1c | 17,376$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…4d62backed Yes | 1c | 17,309$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…cfc9backed Yes | 1c | 17,307$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…a456backed Yes | 1c | 17,230$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…6c3dbacked Yes | 1c | 17,164$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…e5d1backed Yes | 1c | 17,150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea6…b3f5backed Yes | 1c | 17,126$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…6d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,034$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…741bbacked Yes | 1c | 16,950$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…34a7backed Yes | 1c | 16,900$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…f1d9backed Yes | 1c | 16,807$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Yes | 1c | 16,750$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…467dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,363$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…765dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,273$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…8de0backed Yes | 1c | 16,239$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…a6b8backed Yes | 1c | 16,129$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…500cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,116$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…333fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,093$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…e619backed Yes | 1c | 16,009$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…d5f8backed Yes | 1c | 15,996$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…e57ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,996$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…ec5cbacked Yes | 1c | 15,783$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…0b56backed Yes | 1c | 15,731$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d2…92bbbacked Yes | 1c | 15,474$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da7…4c8cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,431$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…3a8cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,684$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…e704backed Yes | 1c | 10,029$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…456fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,806$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…79d4backed Yes | 1c | 9,800$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…be92backed Yes | 1c | 9,751$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0658…1914backed Yes | 1c | 9,733$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…f183backed Yes | 1c | 9,730$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…ba69backed Yes | 1c | 9,613$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…1575backed Yes | 1c | 9,607$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f5…b513backed Yes | 1c | 9,594$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…3114backed Yes | 1c | 9,580$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…d8f8backed Yes | 1c | 9,564$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…3113backed Yes | 1c | 9,554$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…6b17backed Yes | 1c | 9,551$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7df8backed Yes | 1c | 9,544$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…2a70backed Yes | 1c | 9,521$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…18cbbacked Yes | 1c | 9,518$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…fb1fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,493$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…f93abacked Yes | 1c | 9,491$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…d8eabacked Yes | 1c | 9,457$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…0bb8backed Yes | 1c | 9,390$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4d…2de0backed Yes | 1c | 9,373$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…edffbacked Yes | 1c | 9,334$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8099…4dbabacked Yes | 1c | 9,317$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…fac4backed Yes | 1c | 9,286$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…e1bcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,261$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…cac8backed Yes | 1c | 9,257$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebe…8957backed Yes | 1c | 9,254$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…8578backed Yes | 1c | 9,221$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…dd64backed Yes | 1c | 9,220$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…3effbacked Yes | 1c | 9,161$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…f95abacked Yes | 1c | 9,147$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…5e9fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,146$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…faecbacked Yes | 1c | 9,124$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?this page
- Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Byron Donalds be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes won
- Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Steve Scalise be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Thomas Massie be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.