Us Politics · resolved market
Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d650cd671bfe703a0bbb2b2aab0387afb6292a6cdf4a08836245246b4f7b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,151,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,627,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,151,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba87…17c9backed Yes | 1c | 123,693$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856a…cbb3backed Yes | 1c | 123,649$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…fa3fbacked Yes | 1c | 119,892$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…f791backed Yes | 1c | 118,365$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…eebfbacked Yes | 1c | 117,418$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…c72abacked Yes | 1c | 112,512$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6491…2a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 112,283$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…3791backed Yes | 1c | 109,862$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…0f8fbacked Yes | 1c | 109,492$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…8675backed Yes | 1c | 108,049$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…c534backed Yes | 1c | 106,914$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…7e66backed Yes | 1c | 106,167$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f6…4911backed Yes | 1c | 104,633$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…cfe5backed Yes | 1c | 104,047$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3125…d049backed Yes | 1c | 103,845$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…c05bbacked Yes | 1c | 100,750$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…56bfbacked Yes | 1c | 99,940$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…489ebacked Yes | 1c | 99,364$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…83edbacked Yes | 1c | 97,654$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…42d3backed Yes | 1c | 97,367$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…c44bbacked Yes | 1c | 97,350$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…56a6backed Yes | 1c | 97,320$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…deb1backed Yes | 1c | 97,073$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc3…c934backed Yes | 1c | 96,334$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…2abcbacked Yes | 1c | 93,911$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…a1efbacked Yes | 1c | 93,777$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…eef8backed Yes | 1c | 92,724$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…876fbacked Yes | 1c | 92,676$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…0e9fbacked Yes | 1c | 92,624$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2b23backed Yes | 1c | 92,140$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…e1ebbacked Yes | 1c | 91,984$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…190abacked Yes | 1c | 90,216$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…bc0ebacked Yes | 1c | 90,065$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…23b8backed Yes | 1c | 90,063$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cc70backed Yes | 1c | 90,027$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e35backed Yes | 1c | 90,023$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…e9d0backed Yes | 1c | 89,982$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…da4bbacked Yes | 1c | 89,975$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…1da9backed Yes | 1c | 89,964$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…b6b3backed Yes | 1c | 89,964$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…f04bbacked Yes | 1c | 89,919$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…42a9backed Yes | 1c | 89,662$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…0c12backed Yes | 1c | 89,575$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…2381backed Yes | 1c | 89,476$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838f…52e8backed Yes | 1c | 89,339$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…4499backed Yes | 1c | 89,206$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…f43bbacked Yes | 1c | 89,120$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…7c3abacked Yes | 1c | 89,002$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…de72backed Yes | 1c | 88,924$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…d738backed Yes | 1c | 88,897$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…fe9fbacked Yes | 1c | 88,832$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b3…7f0abacked Yes | 1c | 88,677$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…35a4backed Yes | 1c | 88,026$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…8a70backed Yes | 1c | 87,825$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…ce5fbacked Yes | 1c | 85,116$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…7d31backed Yes | 1c | 84,911$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…14cbbacked Yes | 1c | 84,488$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ca…10bdbacked Yes | 1c | 84,201$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…456bbacked Yes | 1c | 84,085$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…4891backed Yes | 1c | 83,847$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…0bcebacked Yes | 1c | 83,599$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…7214backed Yes | 1c | 83,573$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…f3e7backed Yes | 1c | 83,272$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…8295backed Yes | 1c | 81,921$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…cd2fbacked Yes | 1c | 81,573$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…6908backed Yes | 1c | 80,632$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…8a61backed Yes | 1c | 80,464$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…5848backed Yes | 1c | 80,160$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…65b3backed Yes | 1c | 80,024$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…8d90backed Yes | 1c | 80,024$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…0b5ebacked Yes | 1c | 79,968$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9c…6b12backed Yes | 1c | 79,960$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde9…5002backed Yes | 1c | 79,944$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…7acbbacked Yes | 1c | 79,944$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…014dbacked Yes | 1c | 79,928$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…5131backed Yes | 1c | 79,928$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…f03bbacked Yes | 1c | 79,660$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…10a5backed Yes | 1c | 77,853$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce4…2504backed Yes | 1c | 77,809$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…987cbacked Yes | 1c | 77,545$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…418abacked Yes | 1c | 77,114$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3055…9dcbbacked Yes | 1c | 77,071$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…3264backed Yes | 1c | 74,647$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1043…9689backed Yes | 1c | 74,543$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…f02dbacked Yes | 1c | 74,368$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb91…c417backed Yes | 1c | 74,353$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…8f8cbacked Yes | 1c | 74,291$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…602abacked Yes | 1c | 74,042$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…6153backed Yes | 1c | 73,935$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…f035backed Yes | 1c | 73,619$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…053ebacked Yes | 1c | 73,285$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…f461backed Yes | 1c | 73,276$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d2…0199backed Yes | 1c | 73,263$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…c4f5backed Yes | 1c | 73,194$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…ab9abacked Yes | 1c | 73,147$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd626…c4b9backed Yes | 1c | 73,132$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…281abacked Yes | 1c | 72,867$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…d01ebacked Yes | 1c | 72,517$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…6cfabacked Yes | 1c | 71,928$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…dd88backed Yes | 1c | 71,775$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?this page
- Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Byron Donalds be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes won
- Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Steve Scalise be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Thomas Massie be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.