Us Politics · resolved market
Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9170008ce066642f6dfe51292fe526bd842bd9ffa121ec9b053de8dfc1444123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,258,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,675,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,258,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x702c…40f4backed Yes | 1c | 152,294$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0596…48febacked Yes | 1c | 147,704$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…11c8backed Yes | 1c | 146,206$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9b…7dfbbacked Yes | 1c | 142,564$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…4ab9backed Yes | 1c | 137,376$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…faa8backed Yes | 1c | 124,925$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…fc0abacked Yes | 1c | 119,661$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…8376backed Yes | 1c | 118,736$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…de33backed Yes | 1c | 118,186$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa9…729dbacked Yes | 1c | 117,383$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…8d90backed Yes | 1c | 117,240$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…f028backed Yes | 1c | 116,023$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…4490backed Yes | 1c | 114,695$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…11f9backed Yes | 1c | 113,308$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…4909backed Yes | 1c | 112,635$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…1e5abacked Yes | 1c | 112,544$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…f035backed Yes | 1c | 112,534$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…7214backed Yes | 1c | 112,466$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…6a87backed Yes | 1c | 112,456$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecf…10b7backed Yes | 1c | 112,455$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…ec4ebacked Yes | 1c | 112,455$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…8172backed Yes | 1c | 112,433$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…2868backed Yes | 1c | 112,430$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…e70bbacked Yes | 1c | 111,719$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…fcd8backed Yes | 1c | 111,676$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…9d0ebacked Yes | 1c | 111,549$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…f7dabacked Yes | 1c | 110,820$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…6153backed Yes | 1c | 110,651$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…987cbacked Yes | 1c | 110,400$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…57b2backed Yes | 1c | 109,934$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…e8d8backed Yes | 1c | 109,265$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…0e84backed Yes | 1c | 108,813$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…eeb3backed Yes | 1c | 106,466$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…ec51backed Yes | 1c | 105,695$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…2f95backed Yes | 1c | 105,686$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…c05bbacked Yes | 1c | 105,596$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f0a4backed Yes | 1c | 105,404$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…cab1backed Yes | 1c | 105,116$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cc70backed Yes | 1c | 104,775$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…4178backed Yes | 1c | 104,210$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…2f27backed Yes | 1c | 104,191$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…da87backed Yes | 1c | 103,994$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…6241backed Yes | 1c | 103,106$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…0b2cbacked Yes | 1c | 102,569$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…c55cbacked Yes | 1c | 101,900$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…3a19backed Yes | 1c | 100,460$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…08e7backed Yes | 1c | 100,440$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…d65abacked Yes | 1c | 100,420$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…01c6backed Yes | 1c | 100,210$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0baebacked Yes | 1c | 100,020$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…e219backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…6fbabacked Yes | 1c | 99,980$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…da4bbacked Yes | 1c | 99,980$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ff…002bbacked Yes | 1c | 99,970$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…62d1backed Yes | 1c | 99,930$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4491backed Yes | 1c | 99,930$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1c29backed Yes | 1c | 99,910$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…d738backed Yes | 1c | 99,910$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…ec96backed Yes | 1c | 99,845$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…5912backed Yes | 1c | 99,590$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…919cbacked Yes | 1c | 99,509$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c7…5abcbacked Yes | 1c | 99,500$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…1a9cbacked Yes | 1c | 99,165$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…91d1backed Yes | 1c | 99,088$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…cd2fbacked Yes | 1c | 98,984$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd626…c4b9backed Yes | 1c | 98,910$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65da…3177backed Yes | 1c | 98,383$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…9585backed Yes | 1c | 98,203$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543a…5ca9backed Yes | 1c | 97,959$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…59adbacked Yes | 1c | 97,781$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…d589backed Yes | 1c | 95,980$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…43d0backed Yes | 1c | 95,844$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…44f6backed Yes | 1c | 95,294$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…24f5backed Yes | 1c | 93,498$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…fb4bbacked Yes | 1c | 93,295$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…dc9cbacked Yes | 1c | 93,065$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…828abacked Yes | 1c | 92,920$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…4b84backed Yes | 1c | 92,633$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2024…79d4backed Yes | 1c | 92,448$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…14cbbacked Yes | 1c | 92,349$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf190…0b27backed Yes | 1c | 91,564$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…8fefbacked Yes | 1c | 91,539$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…fe9fbacked Yes | 1c | 91,208$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…7916backed Yes | 1c | 90,186$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…35a4backed Yes | 1c | 90,128$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…62bbbacked Yes | 1c | 89,635$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…24eabacked Yes | 1c | 88,165$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…187fbacked Yes | 1c | 87,748$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…260abacked Yes | 1c | 87,579$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…f3e7backed Yes | 1c | 87,555$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…6b6fbacked Yes | 1c | 87,546$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…53e7backed Yes | 1c | 87,526$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…a52abacked Yes | 1c | 87,509$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…8613backed Yes | 1c | 87,474$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…904ebacked Yes | 1c | 87,456$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…c72abacked Yes | 1c | 87,456$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…9c55backed Yes | 1c | 87,436$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…170dbacked Yes | 1c | 87,421$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…5131backed Yes | 1c | 87,421$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69a…1877backed Yes | 1c | 87,281$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?this page
- Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Byron Donalds be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes won
- Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Steve Scalise be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Thomas Massie be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.