TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$776,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$871,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Yes56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.952969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c73,797$39,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,147.6912553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No43c68,493$29,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,492.319748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes56c66,227$36,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,283.188461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c47,962$21,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,183.844,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes57c34,185$19,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.5520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No44c32,236$14,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,183.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c31,404$17,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,549.532,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No43c22,582$9,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,710.2613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes68c9,343$6,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.6969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No17c9,065$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.055538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c8,295$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c7,606$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c7,060$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.441,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5808041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No43c5,875$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5424938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2503158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No45c4,881$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.453458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c4,852$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.5750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes57c4,835$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.055440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes75c4,238$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No43c4,125$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c4,095$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.0992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes58c3,250$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3653748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No42c3,182$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.423432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No43c3,049$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.077349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75fe…70eebacked No17c2,710$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No43c2,572$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.9240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes46c2,501$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.6526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No43c2,280$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No43c2,255$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.652152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c2,126$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8604245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No43c1,938$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.536243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c1,888$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes55c1,882$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.6122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes56c1,821$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.492937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No40c1,679$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes77c1,577$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.151250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67511333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6605942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes54c1,489$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8615150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed No44c1,443$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1112236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c1,391$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.181,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes58c1,310$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.3423152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea75…ae99backed Yes57c1,205$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.151560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes57c1,201$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.432958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes62c1,156$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.683262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed No18c928.05$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.26219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172c…94b0backed Yes53c913.28$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.093135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf7f…8a2dbacked Yes57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes57c877.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.524843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes57c877.19$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.359557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7e…a34ebacked No44c863$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.072556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No45c853.96$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes52c825.72$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes58c825.51$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5115832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3445058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes80c799.12$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.924141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No23c783.8$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1d…f7e4backed No44c770$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed Yes57c760$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes60c759.1$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6411656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.587030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes58c749.55$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.149640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c747.08$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.754742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca6…9399backed Yes57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa948…b032backed No44c690$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.669564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c677.5$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes47c640.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.225151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes77c629.53$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.796464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No57c601.93$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.18143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Yes58c599.98$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.995650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No43c591$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.134443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c581$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x767c…9aadbacked No43c575$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Yes56c571.47$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes57c557.26$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c551.79$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c549.92$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9711457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes58c543.1$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.14445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes57c527.88$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.244946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No44c512.94$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6915443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes56c495.53$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.536750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes58c490$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.