TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes20c47,790$9,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,448.4212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c34,286$9,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,976.8190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes21c20,000$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.818461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0813…8e62backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes18c9,760$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.842842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0673…afabbacked Yes0c5,027$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes18c4,835$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.35440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes18c4,405$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.932536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes38c3,143$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9919662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes16c3,140$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes25c2,389$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes2c2,312$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.71219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c1,990$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7614067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes18c1,579$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes5c1,365$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes19c1,358$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2585232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes21c1,216$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes18c1,201$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.182958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes20c1,070$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.034748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc8…4af3backed Yes18c1,056$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes18c1,013$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1877030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes5c939.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes18c764.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.034126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c658$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.931,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes34c581.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed Yes6c512.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes19c504.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.813740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c464$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c412.88$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes18c362.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.225230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes50c338.89$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.34663%29 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No77c336.74$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.742161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes19c315.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No79c310$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6421355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c03…70d1backed Yes50c259.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172c…94b0backed Yes40c235.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99cb…0a88backed Yes15c218.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes33c213.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.518842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes23c212.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes16c204.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6528055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes17c199.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.878045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes19c197.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c188.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No65c185$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes18c180$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Yes10c178.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.042040%8 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc596…4368backed Yes9c167.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes18c166.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03a3…85c0backed Yes20c158.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed Yes20c157.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes9c157.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes20c139$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.89640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes50c136.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.187750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee3…7287backed Yes20c130.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes40c126.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No74c122.97$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9711159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Yes10c117.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.181442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20429.5%4 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes11c115.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2313457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes16c103.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5511820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes18c102.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.933225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed No72c96.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.272479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes38c95.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.212821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-65%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Yes18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6e…cd39backed Yes40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes30c83.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No69c79.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.715759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes17c79.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.522030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No15c78.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick12cpaid+330.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No73c72.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.427850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…9f99backed Yes20c71.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2650%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66a2…e49cbacked Yes19c66.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes21c59.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No58c54.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.532147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes38c54.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5611740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3890…41a3backed Yes21c50.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…ea3bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…0359backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes32c39.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.