TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c24,216$6,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,054.111,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No75c11,800$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9503145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No75c10,563$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.757455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c10,074$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.3890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c8,752$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.882,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c8,597$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.2520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c8,490$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes24c7,291$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.8450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No69c6,053$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.32365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4a…744abacked No75c5,642$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.782548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes9c3,726$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.319662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes18c3,337$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c3,329$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.3392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes12c1,616$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9615150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c1,161$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Yes3c1,147$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.69100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Yes22c1,104$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes8c865.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2618842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes30c851.9$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.573026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Yes18c627.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes14c551.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7711820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c549$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes17c499.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes25c495.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.871,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed Yes19c469.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes25c460$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11515443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c400.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes13c395.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.638732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c367.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.423727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes25c354.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.635230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes29c347.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes13c322.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.897553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes31c299.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1626545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c270.27$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6791…b1febacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes6c226.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c218.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.631,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes24c208.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes25c199.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes25c187.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes18c183.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes24c180$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes17c172.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.371625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes23c168.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.784126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a97…1a6abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes25c154.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.987623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes12c147.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No77c147$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes18c127.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes25c124$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes19c107.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes25c103.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c101.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.748672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.942927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.611541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cb…0a88backed Yes18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…9f99backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes30c68.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.692330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-51.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes16c66.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7757252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Yes16c66.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c63.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…e72bbacked Yes25c60.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac8…3b3dbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes25c55.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.774151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e20…3b66backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c43.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9220353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…abd5backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f3…61d9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.