Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e2740fa268325e0096b79725b4bab06428b22d6c73fa86a0a27d5423b29d25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 9,900$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.73 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.19 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 54c | 2,503$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.85 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 1,205$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed Under | 51c | 920.73$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 54c | 853.55$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 823$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.42 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 787.22$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.16 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 53c | 670$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 55c | 565.82$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.2 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 37c | 514.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 33c | 497.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Under | 45c | 403.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 4c | 243.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Under | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Under | 47c | 178.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 175.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 12c | 129.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 47c | 127$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 109.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 55c | 109.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 42c | 90.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 89.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed Over | 53c | 61.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 53c | 60.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 38c | 59.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 46c | 58.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 20c | 56.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Over | 53c | 55.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…2699backed Under | 48c | 48.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 44.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 35.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…020abacked Over | 54c | 27.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…af4abacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Under | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.