TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c18,522$9,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,706.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c3,916$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.51,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over27c3,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee3…6be7backed Over54c3,789$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Over45c3,100$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over46c2,200$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over77c1,588$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.764575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over79c1,539$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.8116046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf131…69cabacked Over76c1,019$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.74366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over34c967.74$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.03825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over75c900$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c701.82$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.0798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over45c664.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under20c571.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over80c563.88$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c551.34$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Under50c530.43$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.223158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under23c525.77$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over54c464$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.944320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c456.82$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8910361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under73c374.67$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.163271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under21c363.87$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under48c330$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.392171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over61c330$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under62c318.08$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9214845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over71c305.4$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over30c284.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.312842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c278.36$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over71c270$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.73357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb623…47a1backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+158.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c249.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9942347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c233.02$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over43c224.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.095046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over41c217.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over47c213.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over62c200.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over46c198$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed Over52c193.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over27c186.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over47c171.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c170.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over18c167.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over79c166.11$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7115253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under63c158.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8712035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4208…13febacked Under78c141.36$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over42c131.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c131.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over23c110.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.518744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under22c90.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over51c90.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c85.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over41c77.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.895740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over79c75.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over37c75.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Over79c75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over31c71.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.434753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…fa88backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over75c66.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over23c66.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Over60c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.125541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under52c56.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.996349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c56.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6f…2738backed Over24c54.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under22c53.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.531225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under58c48.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.289750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under56c45.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over58c43.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.742365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over53c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…2c23backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Under46c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.