Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599cae0781fc72bef98cc592cf3c263689e8290092468b62f3a4425264dbaf86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 4,080$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.54 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.09 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 1,326$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.56 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 726.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 39c | 681.93$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.23 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 45c | 666.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 453.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 33c | 409.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 317.77$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 287.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 44c | 179.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 77c | 176.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…c730backed Yes | 39c | 126.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 111.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…0e8fbacked Yes | 10c | 102.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed No | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 42c | 95.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 57c | 92.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed No | 63c | 71.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 63.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 43c | 61.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 56.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 70c | 49.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 49.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…a50ebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…5de1backed No | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…a4ecbacked Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…9603backed Yes | 35c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…757fbacked No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…b787backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 72c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.