TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under56c121,764$68,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,320.338743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over44c37,096$16,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,270.9122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c26,685$11,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,346.512,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c24,138$10,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,498.6540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c19,543$8,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,568.8896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c16,477$9,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.6934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c7,300$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.8645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9721058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under60c5,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0203243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c3,977$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.8298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c3,887$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.1226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c3,801$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.1633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over43c3,108$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.952133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c2,748$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6789…6302backed Over46c1,771$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Over42c1,122$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.112161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over44c888$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.722152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c580.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.61,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over20c562.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c375$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16517651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over43c348.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.089750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c332.07$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…2302backed Over44c302.25$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over44c297.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over35c282.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.991850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c279.9$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Over44c274$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over35c265.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c262.59$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over42c232.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.672240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Under56c226.82$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c213.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.159937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over29c194$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over44c190.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over36c180.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.29045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over26c153.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.491225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over27c132.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over45c131.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over46c130.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c116.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under57c116.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.145653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c93.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over46c93.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.796245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c80.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over45c73.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.436366.7%42 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over44c67.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.492347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…2699backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over18c61.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a4…bba6backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over23c58.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over44c55.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.451020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5710456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over44c52.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.418752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over45c50.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.833740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over45c50.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.62445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.