TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c23,859$9,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,090.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over29c5,482$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.792842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over70c5,017$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.2433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over45c4,311$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9543158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee3…6be7backed Over71c2,708$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c2,373$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.721,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Under59c2,062$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over60c1,729$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.151070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under63c1,469$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.1516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over37c1,064$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c1,004$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c772.74$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.6598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over33c758.03$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.767025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c720.55$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over37c699.51$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.824247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over69c699.47$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6311268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over70c617.69$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c501.4$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over70c454.93$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under33c383.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+242.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under28c353.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over71c352.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under35c338.1$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.049750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c329.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over32c322.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.115046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over68c315.2$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6911161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over32c308.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over71c283.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over72c283.28$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over71c261.97$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18612565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c261.11$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over26c252.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c238.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over21c210$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.19440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…4fd7backed Over72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14219652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under31c198.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.85028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6616526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over15c139.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1613754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5d2…e592backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over38c137.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over74c135.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c3…229cbacked Under77c132.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over62c121.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under30c117.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5811150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Over71c100.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under35c100.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Under54c89.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under30c85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over71c81.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.553141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Over71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…8afebacked Under60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+146.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Over18c61.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252075%15 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce79…0047backed Over34c54.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under42c49.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7224955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over69c48.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.493946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under42c46.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.898752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over51c41.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c40.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over71c39.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.814856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+110.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Under45c38.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe40e…2967backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over36c33.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.843324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.036863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over71c30.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over71c27.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.592365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.