Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e7e09445be6c818f4256088ccfea5d27b31d3ccfebe9e73c78e7c9260029fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 328,905$177,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,314.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 46c | 150,000$69,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,000 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 150,000$69,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,000 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 45c | 42,358$19,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,177.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 17,551$8,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 10,616$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.21 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 8,465$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 48c | 6,075$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 55c | 5,700$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 44c | 5,697$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.31 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 3,804$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.84 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 2,959$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.7 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 45c | 2,956$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 2,448$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.41 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 45c | 2,382$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 60c | 2,155$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.6 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Under | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…f912backed Over | 54c | 1,489$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Under | 45c | 1,402$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 55c | 1,330$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 49c | 1,260$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.87 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 1,130$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.53 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Under | 46c | 1,102$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 1,079$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.92 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 14c | 900$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 55c | 887.93$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.57 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 46c | 833.78$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 762.17$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.69 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 11c | 750$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 712.28$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.84 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 559.39$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 549.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 45c | 381.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 19c | 299.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.37 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 53c | 251.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 38c | 209$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 46c | 207.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 50c | 199.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 7c | 191.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 186.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 183.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 47c | 179.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 25c | 178.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Over | 16c | 176.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 52c | 153.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed Over | 26c | 135$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 54c | 129.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 119.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 40c | 116$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Under | 46c | 111.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 105.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…d2d5backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Over | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…7bd0backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.