Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66615f6ee52e5fe2ea11b9e5c63f6e1ee0f7026b2621894e06a7bf0bb5788864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 10,065$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 7,168$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.12 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 16c | 5,037$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.66 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 4,416$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.87 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 77c | 1,987$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.01 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 76c | 1,600$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.37 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 59c | 1,544$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 51c | 1,362$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,319$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.42 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 26c | 992.73$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 951.1$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.07 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 928.8$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…acddbacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 674.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 46c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 599$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.45 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 71c | 449.76$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 47c | 399$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 370.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 46c | 328.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 23c | 307.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 37c | 302.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 265.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 61c | 235.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 77c | 235$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 56c | 230.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 57c | 212$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 24c | 208.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 45c | 208.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 194.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 9c | 178$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 50c | 174.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 44c | 172.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 63c | 153.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…4fd7backed Over | 75c | 153.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 66c | 149.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 46c | 146.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 145.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 137.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 133.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 24c | 128.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…d1b6backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 57c | 123.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 66c | 121.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 39c | 118$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 116.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 76c | 102.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 42c | 89.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 65c | 76.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 42c | 70.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…2856backed Over | 78c | 69.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 74c | 67.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 62c | 64.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 58c | 63.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.