TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$432,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 742 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild33c70,157$23,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,978.9236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Wild32c53,364$17,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,287.238749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wild33c28,000$9,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,759.8616645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights30c26,296$8,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,015.792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights63c26,060$16,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,545.9711441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights4c24,048$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.9544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Golden Knights67c23,344$15,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,640.4713845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Golden Knights67c22,200$14,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,771.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Golden Knights67c19,500$13,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,064.965164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights18c13,494$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.9217448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Golden Knights6c12,905$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4213348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights29c12,807$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,695.351,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Golden Knights68c12,296$8,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,361850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Golden Knights14c11,100$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.2925555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Golden Knights55c10,222$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6055470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Golden Knights67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70011145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6b…0b74backed Golden Knights68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b2…0edebacked Golden Knights68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb2…8b1ebacked Wild32c9,993$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,795.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e94…a463backed Wild32c9,993$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,795.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Golden Knights1c5,153$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.624436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights68c4,500$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Wild70c4,231$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.166764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Golden Knights68c4,032$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.761947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Wild32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7201758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights26c3,877$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.911,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights67c3,800$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Wild34c2,749$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.551485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights67c2,700$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.9484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights66c2,681$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.371,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Golden Knights31c2,545$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.287545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Golden Knights4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights68c2,500$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70524457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Golden Knights46c2,300$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05410546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Wild33c2,038$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.4626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights66c2,008$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.331,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Golden Knights67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3407549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Golden Knights68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3608854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights35c1,990$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights23c1,892$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4298870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights55c1,873$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.429942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Golden Knights68c1,830$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.42045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights13c1,676$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450f…d078backed Golden Knights68c1,608$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.64540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights65c1,570$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.6411354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Golden Knights29c1,500$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.425754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights59c1,465$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.728959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Golden Knights67c1,450$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.54650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Golden Knights67c1,446$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.562748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a1…303bbacked Golden Knights68c1,434$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights67c1,400$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild49c1,400$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights67c1,245$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Golden Knights52c1,209$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild31c1,179$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.3172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights40c1,166$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46421620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa5…f7b9backed Wild32c1,031$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden Knights1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Wild32c999.92$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9410739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights62c980.37$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3119848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Wild33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.098740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights68c720$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Golden Knights68c693.38$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Wild34c637.71$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.724856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Golden Knights67c608$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.3620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x698a…e498backed Golden Knights14c593.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights67c574.15$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild31c565.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.111,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights23c555.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.183,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Golden Knights68c549.4$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.528152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98a…2a0cbacked Wild66c541.8$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Golden Knights19c531.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Golden Knights68c528.03$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.066956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights60c490.4$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c0…32f4backed Golden Knights68c439.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Golden Knights69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Golden Knights67c426.01$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.433354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Golden Knights68c382.35$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…7479backed Wild34c382.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Golden Knights70c371.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.385255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Golden Knights68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Golden Knights25c347.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8133145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Golden Knights14c343.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Wild34c334.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.02742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Golden Knights28c330$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights65c326.31$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd131…ba36backed Golden Knights68c323.43$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Golden Knights69c318.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Golden Knights68c309.53$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4811057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Golden Knights66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985966.1%39 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Wild33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Golden Knights16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Golden Knights69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Wild31c270.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2d…1c65backed Wild33c250.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Wild36c249.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.942330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Golden Knights68c232.4$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.036936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Golden Knights46c219.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008741.4%36 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.