Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff653688db73ea60aa4e6c04caa324d0ebeb7750b4779dfbb832ae4c043f7a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 5,448$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 1,650$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 15c | 1,248$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 13c | 889.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 47c | 828.9$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 822.28$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 731.07$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.04 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 17c | 600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 407.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 349.16$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 328.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Over | 13c | 320$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 61c | 253.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 48c | 195.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 14c | 175.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 164.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 54c | 141.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Over | 47c | 131.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 108.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +151%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 45c | 99.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Over | 48c | 97.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 46c | 79.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…f854backed Over | 48c | 68.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 54c | 39.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Under | 54c | 39.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 60c | 29.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 51c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…cf27backed Under | 55c | 23.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 47c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 20.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…c8b4backed Under | 54c | 19.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.