Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cb810d7f4b9ff2d3d3599730bfeeaff65efb10d92e39d770d1894972ace1bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 9,700$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,530.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.2 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 27c | 2,015$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.1 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,336$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.17 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 31c | 1,197$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.97 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 40c | 789.25$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 41c | 651.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 62c | 531.63$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.61 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 28c | 352.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 40c | 342.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Over | 37c | 233$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 176.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 21c | 176.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 68c | 141.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 129.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 109.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 46c | 82.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 58.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 73c | 41.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 40.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 71c | 24.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 57c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 76c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…5864backed Over | 73c | 13.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.