TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc891…cf27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT6767.2%45 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.79
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.03
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.84
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.82
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.36
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.87
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.15
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$22.09
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.73
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$8.7
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT6053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.82
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.5
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41%+$6.39
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$7.9
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$6.89
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4.16
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.45
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.32
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+98.1%+$14.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.