NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42c1b9c4a099b9c44f0a414210cced2e8a505b08d999c9a3ccbe2a4f8c5e34b

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Mavericks
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,546,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,546,969 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks	15c	298,009$45,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,013.92	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks	15c	169,312$25,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,303.67	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks	1c	38,806$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.13	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Mavericks	15c	35,000$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Mavericks	15c	31,046$4,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,675.84	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Mavericks	15c	23,000$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb464…3b89backed Mavericks	13c	22,850$3,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,044.89	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Mavericks	15c	20,800$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.98	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e5…670ebacked Mavericks	0c	19,672$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Mavericks	2c	19,383$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.82	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks	5c	18,384$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.41	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks	0c	15,867$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mavericks	15c	13,080$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.83	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Mavericks	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.96	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks	4c	9,489$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.83	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks	15c	9,274$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364.52	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	15c	8,277$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.53	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks	10c	7,928$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.53	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks	2c	6,925$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.88	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks	16c	6,875$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…9728backed Mavericks	15c	6,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8117…5f64backed Mavericks	6c	6,384$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.48	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks	9c	5,547$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.37	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Mavericks	1c	5,080$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	123	4.9%6 W · 117 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	13c	5,050$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Mavericks	17c	5,000$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.21	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.98	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb084…e294backed Mavericks	13c	4,700$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+93.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks	1c	4,520$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.46	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks	15c	4,444$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.6	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…3aa6backed Mavericks	1c	4,333$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Mavericks	15c	4,312$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.37	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Mavericks	15c	4,303$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.49	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Mavericks	15c	4,300$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb4…bc50backed Mavericks	15c	4,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Mavericks	6c	3,855$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.29	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	8c	3,717$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.06	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks	15c	3,675$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe942…f7adbacked Mavericks	15c	3,579$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.85	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks	15c	3,374$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.15	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Mavericks	16c	3,142$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Mavericks	1c	3,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.98	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ec…681ebacked Mavericks	1c	2,906$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.43	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Mavericks	15c	2,824$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.67	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mavericks	18c	2,800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks	16c	2,707$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.51	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Mavericks	3c	2,640$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.57	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Mavericks	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	164	29.9%49 W · 115 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedb8…75d3backed Mavericks	14c	2,480$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc6…ae58backed Mavericks	15c	2,468$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Mavericks	14c	2,405$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.68	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Mavericks	14c	2,256$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.78	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks	14c	2,200$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	15c	2,146$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks	13c	2,115$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…242abacked Mavericks	15c	2,092$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Mavericks	14c	2,022$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.3	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Mavericks	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Mavericks	14c	2,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks	16c	2,000$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.39	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bd…6870backed Mavericks	15c	1,999$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.83	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+72.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Mavericks	15c	1,990$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.6	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Mavericks	11c	1,867$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7405…4aa4backed Mavericks	4c	1,834$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb3…5ceabacked Mavericks	13c	1,830$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.92	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks	1c	1,718$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Mavericks	10c	1,687$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.16	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks	1c	1,582$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.71	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Mavericks	16c	1,566$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Mavericks	16c	1,563$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Mavericks	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mavericks	16c	1,526$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.09	426	45.5%194 W · 232 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Mavericks	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	14c	1,334$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.74	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Mavericks	13c	1,295$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.31	132	34.8%46 W · 86 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Mavericks	14c	1,290$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.4	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Mavericks	16c	1,258$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Mavericks	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed Mavericks	4c	1,191$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mavericks	18c	1,127$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.48	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Mavericks	15c	1,125$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.37	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c9…51cfbacked Mavericks	14c	1,052$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.28	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	43cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mavericks	18c	1,032$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.45	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff83…a97dbacked Mavericks	15c	1,010$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks	18c	1,007$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.37	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Mavericks	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c40…8133backed Mavericks	15c	999.8$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.97	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	28cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f70…06b2backed Mavericks	15c	999.34$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.9	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks	18c	952$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.76	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Mavericks	13c	899.98$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Mavericks	3c	898.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Mavericks	15c	846.29$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.72	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Mavericks	15c	842.99$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.45	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mavericks	15c	830.31$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.72	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Mavericks	16c	815.64$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.48	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdf4b…04ebbacked Mavericks	13c	782$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.66	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Mavericks	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	175	32%56 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks	13c	765.52$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.06	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Mavericks	15c	740.72$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.33	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Mavericksthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Under won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-19.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-21.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-25.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-26.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event