TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,941 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Under46c22,253$10,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,236.3530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c7,435$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.61,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over52c7,245$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c6,959$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over54c4,383$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.189742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over54c4,106$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.7625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c3,803$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c2,983$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c2,108$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.562,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c2,079$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.512,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,073$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c2,015$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.132,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c2,014$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under48c1,978$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over52c1,967$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.0524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over54c1,927$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.3829352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over53c1,472$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.0317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c1,305$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.8180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over53c1,250$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c1,047$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.742,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c945$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.151,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c873.01$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under47c777$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1943543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under47c705.68$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8813835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over54c704.53$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4121250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over54c689.55$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1917554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c670.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.353,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c669.84$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.342,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c665$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c643.09$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.043,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5627746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Under47c529.79$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2497439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c499.67$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c490.59$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.151,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under49c490.42$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.123348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over54c450$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c397.64$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under48c315.85$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.619242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over50c295.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c288.1$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Under47c267.23$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.63138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over50c247.49$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under51c230$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under45c226.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c224$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.321,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Under20c211.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.962343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c203.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c201.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.871,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c201.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.632,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.122154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f47…0073backed Under48c179$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83a…dff6backed Under48c167$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e77…198dbacked Under48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under49c153$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9754351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243d…7fa2backed Under46c148$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c138.66$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.471,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over80c131$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.21,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under47c123.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.971,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ca…8ac1backed Under47c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.812055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c115.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over54c114.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c111.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.715544.5%69 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c106.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.932,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c98.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c95.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.811342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Over54c82.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8229556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf756…d3a9backed Over53c79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under20c77.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over54c70.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e6…e760backed Over53c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fdc…6ce2backed Over53c68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Over54c66.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.415259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d87…9fc1backed Over53c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over50c62.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under20c62.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…40b1backed Over54c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb21d…4aadbacked Over53c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over49c53.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.369553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ea…acccbacked Over54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb415…93f9backed Over53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c42.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.671,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Under48c41.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over58c41.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3214931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb15f…9fc6backed Over54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.