NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6347e80068c6170b0c0a4c16bf27612cc9b175a638e13375669ea8ea82824eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 46c | 22,253$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.35 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 7,435$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 52c | 7,245$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.6 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,959$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 54c | 4,383$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.18 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 54c | 4,106$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.76 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 3,803$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 2,983$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 2,108$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 2,079$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.51 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,073$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 2,015$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.13 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 2,014$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 48c | 1,978$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.64 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 52c | 1,967$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.05 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 54c | 1,927$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.38 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 53c | 1,472$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.03 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 1,305$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.81 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 53c | 1,250$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 1,047$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.74 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 945$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.15 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 873.01$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 47c | 777$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 47c | 705.68$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.88 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 54c | 704.53$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 54c | 689.55$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 670.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 669.84$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 665$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 643.09$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 47c | 529.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 499.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 490.59$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 49c | 490.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 54c | 450$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 397.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 48c | 315.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 295.21$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 53c | 288.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Under | 47c | 267.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 247.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 226.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 224$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Under | 20c | 211.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 203.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 201.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 201.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…0073backed Under | 48c | 179$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83a…dff6backed Under | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…198dbacked Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243d…7fa2backed Under | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 52c | 138.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 131$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 47c | 123.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Under | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 115.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 54c | 114.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 111.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 98.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 95.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Over | 54c | 82.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…d3a9backed Over | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 20c | 77.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 54c | 70.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…e760backed Over | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…6ce2backed Over | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 54c | 66.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…9fc1backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 62.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 20c | 62.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…40b1backed Over | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…4aadbacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 49c | 53.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…acccbacked Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb415…93f9backed Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 42.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 58c | 41.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…9fc6backed Over | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. MavericksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-19.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-21.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-25.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-26.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.