NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b068bd7ca53f635102a9acdbc2504827df51bf00fe40f81339e559cee5cdc77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,270 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 147,000$74,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,240.61 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 68,062$33,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,282.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 50c | 51,903$25,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,951.56 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 43,062$21,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,093.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 51c | 35,858$18,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,570.31 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 34,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 25,845$12,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,513.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…6908backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…4654backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 15,170$7,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,196.6 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Under | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 10,709$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.17 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Under | 49c | 9,592$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 6,582$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.14 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 5,592$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 5,298$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.88 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…ae3abacked Under | 49c | 4,988$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 4,798$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 4,412$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.03 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 4,126$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.58 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 4,017$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Over | 51c | 3,942$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efd3backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3f30backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 3,317$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.24 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Over | 53c | 3,236$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.92 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,926$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 52c | 2,747$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.43 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,742$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.73 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 2,725$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.19 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…a5f5backed Over | 52c | 2,514$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 2,502$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…c059backed Under | 48c | 2,499$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…4629backed Under | 48c | 2,466$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 2,428$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.26 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2183…afd6backed Over | 52c | 2,424$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…22b4backed Under | 48c | 2,415$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…3080backed Under | 48c | 2,406$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 52c | 2,305$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.28 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under | 49c | 2,186$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,140$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 49c | 2,101$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.7 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…494fbacked Over | 52c | 2,076$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…83edbacked Over | 52c | 2,051$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.06 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…9560backed Over | 52c | 1,961$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 1,901$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.91 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cd…e58dbacked Under | 48c | 1,877$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…9233backed Over | 52c | 1,870$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…f606backed Under | 48c | 1,806$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…4d16backed Under | 48c | 1,805$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2e…d772backed Under | 48c | 1,803$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…e22dbacked Over | 52c | 1,790$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…5acdbacked Under | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…7e65backed Over | 52c | 1,746$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…8a4bbacked Over | 52c | 1,743$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…6262backed Over | 52c | 1,740$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…97c6backed Over | 52c | 1,710$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1277…4f7fbacked Over | 52c | 1,703$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…362cbacked Over | 52c | 1,690$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…aeb5backed Over | 52c | 1,640$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…98c1backed Over | 52c | 1,590$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…497bbacked Over | 52c | 1,540$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 47c | 1,496$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.01 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…7310backed Over | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…10a2backed Over | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 52c | 1,432$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.36 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 48c | 1,133$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.6 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…828ebacked Under | 48c | 973.33$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 943.84$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 828.66$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 806.8$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 52c | 671.69$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 586.87$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…62bbbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…e1a3backed Under | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…1a6ebacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 391.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.12 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…faf9backed Under | 48c | 390$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…f0f8backed Under | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…a70dbacked Under | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…2387backed Under | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…dc4fbacked Under | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6a8ebacked Under | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…0853backed Under | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…8c7cbacked Under | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…5d8dbacked Under | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. MavericksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-19.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-21.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-25.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-26.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.