TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,097 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c3,283$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c2,034$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c1,829$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2817246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under41c1,229$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over58c1,122$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.8691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under41c1,054$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.334,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over56c946$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over56c913$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.721,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under39c623.34$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.413835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over59c533.33$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under40c320.81$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.329242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c277.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.442,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under42c253.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6223348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under42c228.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.81,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under40c217.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…abb3backed Under41c167$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Under14c166.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.862343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…2285backed Under40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0818…b911backed Under41c148.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…ab5cbacked Under40c148$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c137.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over62c137.11$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.18850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a2…2172backed Under42c136$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over58c134.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.281,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c130.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under40c124.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over58c119.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.691,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…abcebacked Under41c118$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over64c107.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over64c106.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under42c104.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.573066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under42c101$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3124841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ca…029bbacked Over78c80.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022e…8ea2backed Over60c79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170d…5dc3backed Over59c72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9311748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf141…2b17backed Over59c56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b6…bb42backed Over61c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over64c55.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.155558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c92…595fbacked Over60c49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1f…2382backed Over59c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over60c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4911342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b51…7e2abacked Over59c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…50b2backed Over60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over62c43.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e9…4f2cbacked Over60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…8ddabacked Over60c37.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Over62c37.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.271376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under33c36.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1212227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over77c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacc…7b06backed Over59c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…d9b6backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8465…4334backed Over59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under43c31.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.449051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Under41c30.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142c…6b69backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…560dbacked Over60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffc…b220backed Over60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc605…fc49backed Over70c28.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Under41c28.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9432…5b77backed Over53c28.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e41…49f4backed Over59c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over54c27.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225a…f9a1backed Under44c25.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ad…8773backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+147.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef40…bd4bbacked Over59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e3…eb62backed Over61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce38…eecdbacked Over58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ae…765fbacked Over61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over80c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.771485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over59c18.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over63c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…5685backed Over61c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over61c17.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.865152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.