NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456e34200c2709cd1ae0231f7aaa6ab5e623cea66bebe093dcd73dd6fc9b780b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,556 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 135,881$66,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,581.51 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 102,971$52,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,954.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 88,712$45,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,498.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 30,975$15,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,265.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 50c | 24,276$12,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,138 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 16,445$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.82 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over | 51c | 13,460$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 52c | 10,260$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.25 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 52c | 9,923$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…62bbbacked Over | 51c | 9,569$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…b957backed Over | 49c | 6,744$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 6,636$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 6,336$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…cd15backed Over | 49c | 6,318$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…f59abacked Under | 51c | 6,274$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…204dbacked Over | 49c | 6,268$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…44d2backed Over | 49c | 6,183$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…2387backed Under | 52c | 6,136$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…0853backed Over | 49c | 6,074$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…97cabacked Under | 51c | 6,054$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 5,961$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.78 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…1a6ebacked Over | 48c | 5,950$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6a8ebacked Over | 49c | 5,903$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…a70dbacked Under | 51c | 5,870$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…7d83backed Under | 51c | 5,851$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0743…1228backed Under | 51c | 5,738$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…fe22backed Under | 51c | 5,714$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…76e6backed Over | 49c | 5,654$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…f0f8backed Under | 51c | 5,556$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54f…7c3cbacked Under | 51c | 5,530$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…8c7cbacked Under | 51c | 5,522$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…1852backed Over | 49c | 5,498$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 51c | 5,493$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.73 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…c755backed Under | 51c | 5,492$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…c5d7backed Over | 49c | 5,488$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…dc4fbacked Under | 52c | 5,470$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…cadcbacked Under | 51c | 5,468$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…e1a3backed Over | 48c | 5,450$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…497bbacked Over | 49c | 5,290$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…9fa3backed Over | 49c | 5,250$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…be3ebacked Under | 51c | 5,213$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…8fd5backed Over | 49c | 5,182$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…5d8dbacked Over | 49c | 5,047$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…aeb5backed Under | 51c | 5,030$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…98c1backed Under | 51c | 4,992$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…188abacked Under | 51c | 4,946$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7a2bbacked Under | 51c | 4,890$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…c765backed Over | 49c | 4,880$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1a…0ac5backed Under | 51c | 4,818$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…4843backed Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…e8aebacked Over | 49c | 4,766$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…d4a3backed Over | 49c | 4,760$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 4,736$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…b647backed Over | 49c | 4,734$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…2433backed Over | 49c | 4,720$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…b780backed Under | 51c | 4,718$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…55ccbacked Under | 51c | 4,713$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…b5ddbacked Under | 51c | 4,544$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…faf9backed Under | 51c | 4,522$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…6262backed Over | 49c | 4,458$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…362cbacked Over | 49c | 4,432$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3f30backed Over | 51c | 4,247$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…0cdfbacked Under | 51c | 4,201$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 51c | 4,157$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.32 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…00b0backed Under | 51c | 3,674$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…086ebacked Under | 51c | 3,614$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…c59fbacked Under | 51c | 3,525$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5417…d6d5backed Under | 51c | 3,388$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 3,356$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.54 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…35d6backed Over | 52c | 2,971$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…7310backed Over | 49c | 2,950$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 2,846$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Over | 49c | 2,793$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 50c | 2,747$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…43ddbacked Under | 50c | 2,661$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f8a1backed Over | 49c | 2,485$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…b160backed Under | 51c | 2,483$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…0364backed Over | 50c | 2,451$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…1dccbacked Under | 51c | 2,430$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…ead6backed Over | 50c | 2,395$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…06cbbacked Over | 49c | 2,380$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,364$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…831bbacked Under | 51c | 2,327$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…4629backed Over | 49c | 2,312$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…3173backed Under | 50c | 2,304$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 2,272$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.72 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…a5f5backed Over | 49c | 2,268$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…22b4backed Over | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…5774backed Over | 49c | 2,219$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…459bbacked Over | 50c | 2,218$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. MavericksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-19.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-21.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-25.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-26.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.