NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd74a7a34e89cb626359583946f33565abbf630b1599dcfbdf5f60c3d2ac382ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $921,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $921,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Mavericks | 52c | 89,264$46,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,197.38 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks | 50c | 85,436$42,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,717.99 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Cavaliers | 50c | 76,973$38,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,486.54 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 49c | 69,565$34,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,478.61 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Mavericks | 52c | 52,900$27,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,508 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…fdd5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 39,131$18,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,348.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 38,260$18,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,875.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 32,648$15,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,976.82 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…e0c7backed Mavericks | 52c | 30,950$16,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,094 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…b7cdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 29,281$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,225.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Cavaliers | 48c | 25,090$12,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,046.8 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…519bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 23,258$12,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,094.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…1e38backed Mavericks | 52c | 23,085$12,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,004.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 51c | 20,673$10,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643.35 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 51c | 20,374$10,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,390.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…0db5backed Mavericks | 52c | 20,258$10,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,534.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…735dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 18,385$9,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,560.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 17,005$8,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,662.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efd3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 15,016$7,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,508 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…7b77backed Cavaliers | 48c | 13,342$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 12,600$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…72bcbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 11,392$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,923.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 11,042$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.06 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 10,074$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Mavericks | 50c | 9,799$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…35d6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,220$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…68f2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,529$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 8,376$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,982$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…88ecbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,943$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eeccbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,788$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 53c | 6,750$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb218…d9a5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,569$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…aafbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 6,504$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f4…4d1dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,393$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a5…3445backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,935$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…0d10backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,618$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…83e1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,539$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…d347backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,158$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,043$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…4639backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,962$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…83b5backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,934$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…2342backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,922$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…af83backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,909$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…39d3backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,906$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…56d2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,875$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8170…e94dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,860$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…2144backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,858$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…3253backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,856$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…a3d7backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,856$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…5786backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,834$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…e99dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,829$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…ed38backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,826$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…7617backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,820$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…1e33backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,817$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…545abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,784$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,776$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…10a2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,765$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…2e7ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,762$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…680abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,754$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…6745backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,750$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…36a9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,742$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…df31backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,738$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…54b6backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,738$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…e123backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,721$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…3ebbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,718$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…efa0backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,703$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9152backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,684$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…2d0abacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,678$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…cd93backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,657$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…17cbbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,652$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f05ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,648$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…6d8fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,630$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…eb3cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,617$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…a912backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,609$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…8eeebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,609$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…20e5backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,598$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…554fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,589$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…8c53backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,579$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…8c77backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,579$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…fbe1backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,558$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…6bb9backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,542$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…caa1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,534$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3611…36b8backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,527$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…de26backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,517$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…c4cdbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,496$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…e92bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,494$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…d45ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,481$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4737…14cfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,448$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…09c6backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,447$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…415fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,439$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…2c64backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,420$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 4,408$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…0752backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,406$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…6bd7backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,404$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. MavericksCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-19.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-21.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-25.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-26.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.