NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab22a6ebe5e136276790f6a49e40e9cfe0f05895c4b05dd3512471a261021021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 44c | 113,664$50,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,651.95 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 56c | 109,519$61,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,297.17 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Jets | 56c | 68,701$38,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,285.56 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 44c | 42,687$18,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,899.82 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 44c | 34,050$14,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,068 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Jets | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 43c | 22,208$9,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,633.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 46c | 12,627$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.1 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jets | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 44c | 8,285$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.96 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 44c | 7,876$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.18 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets | 27c | 7,736$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.29 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Jets | 52c | 7,166$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.28 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Ducks | 44c | 6,185$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.94 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.61 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Ducks | 45c | 5,890$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.21 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets | 52c | 5,863$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.54 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Jets | 56c | 5,743$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.03 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 61c | 5,466$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.11 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Ducks | 44c | 5,314$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.51 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 45c | 4,942$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.85 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jets | 56c | 4,890$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.55 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Jets | 54c | 4,275$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.54 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Jets | 15c | 4,031$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.58 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Ducks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Jets | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.51 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Jets | 56c | 3,572$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jets | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 45c | 2,996$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Ducks | 44c | 2,651$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.64 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ducks | 50c | 2,336$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.14 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Jets | 3c | 2,294$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.32 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jets | 56c | 2,211$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.16 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Jets | 56c | 2,138$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Jets | 54c | 2,061$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.27 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Jets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Jets | 57c | 1,994$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.05 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jets | 46c | 1,903$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.16 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Jets | 54c | 1,869$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.53 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ducks | 44c | 1,616$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.03 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 44c | 1,590$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ducks | 44c | 1,553$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.17 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Ducks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ducks | 50c | 1,365$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.92 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Jets | 56c | 1,140$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ducks | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.56 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Ducks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…604fbacked Jets | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Ducks | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Ducks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Ducks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Jets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Jets | 57c | 987.37$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.1 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Ducks | 44c | 950$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 58c | 943.38$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ducks | 44c | 929.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.3 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…38a3backed Jets | 56c | 922.47$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 60c | 914.21$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.26 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ducks | 44c | 909.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.58 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ducks | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.49 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Jets | 53c | 890.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.23 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Jets | 57c | 877.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 45c | 848.22$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Ducks | 44c | 818.42$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.42 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ducks | 44c | 803.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.84 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Ducks | 47c | 727.26$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 52c | 721.37$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.15 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Jets | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jets | 45c | 664.17$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.49 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ducks | 62c | 614.54$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ducks | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Ducks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jets | 49c | 598$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Jets | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…505dbacked Jets | 56c | 572.9$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 45c | 565.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc42…eab7backed Ducks | 45c | 526.68$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Ducks | 45c | 512.8$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Ducks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Jets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ducks | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Ducks | 44c | 499.54$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…48a6backed Ducks | 45c | 497.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Jets | 7c | 483$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…230fbacked Ducks | 45c | 479$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…a304backed Jets | 55c | 472.77$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Ducks | 64c | 472.39$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Ducks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Jetsthis page
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.