NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7826eb04675edec58c2fea28cec76bfe61704e41adb6d1c6bc7284aa4588785f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,596 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 834.5$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 27c | 781.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 77c | 389.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7735backed Under | 41c | 358$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48c…f3b2backed Over | 59c | 315$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 302.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…8345backed Over | 59c | 301$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…4051backed Over | 59c | 263$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…2bf7backed Under | 41c | 261$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…1885backed Under | 41c | 260$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 230.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 166.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 60c | 147.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 105.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 90.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 41c | 67.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 43c | 27.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 59c | 26.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…1bf6backed Over | 58c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Ducks vs. JetsDucks won
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.