Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcced92c05ba288268c462080a19b8bad463f2119a535a01f96087541271f0f20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 51c | 200,052$101,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,829.96 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 49c | 82,653$40,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,232.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 76,739$38,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,831.76 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 47c | 58,612$27,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,096.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 53c | 41,999$22,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,259.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 49c | 30,436$14,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,522.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 17,422$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,069.12 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 38c | 14,342$5,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 53c | 13,667$7,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,180.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 12,825$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,709.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 11,913$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 50c | 11,780$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.59 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 11,292$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 9,853$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 9,521$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 53c | 7,658$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 7,157$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 5,900$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 61c | 3,324$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…c0f5backed Over | 53c | 3,208$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 40c | 2,475$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 2,285$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 36c | 2,209$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 2,159$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,700$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.87 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 53c | 1,615$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.94 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 1,600$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.58 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 52c | 1,471$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.29 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,285$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 1,276$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.28 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 51c | 986.65$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.13 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 845.76$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.63 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 54c | 800$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 64c | 794$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 45c | 667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.85 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 55c | 623.64$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 535.12$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 55c | 455.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 447.27$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 440.75$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 54c | 430.82$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 45c | 423.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 415.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.31 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 48c | 401.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 362.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 56c | 330.35$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 323.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 22c | 308.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 301.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 53c | 288.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 285.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 271.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 37c | 269.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 13c | 265$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 46c | 264$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 54c | 263.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 30c | 245.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 55c | 245.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 242.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 53c | 226.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 52c | 206.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…85debacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 52c | 192.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 52c | 192.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.