Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707e5b301d214a5f294acd9d08130c5e072bde355ff5710dc98141fa5c8e74a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 24,079$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,493.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 77c | 5,200$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.99 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 70c | 4,710$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.76 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 77c | 2,599$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.23 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 1,873$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 62c | 1,640$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.62 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 23c | 1,187$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 66c | 1,039$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 17c | 641.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.33 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 63c | 600$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 48c | 518.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 56c | 505.01$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 483.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 457.34$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 77c | 324.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 39c | 293.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 291.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.79 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 285$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 23c | 269.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Over | 5c | 251.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 240.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 23c | 230$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 226.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 36c | 198.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 23c | 186.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 182.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 53c | 177.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 39c | 158.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 79c | 135.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 135.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 78c | 133$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 17c | 127.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 125.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 121.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 77c | 113.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 36c | 113.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 110.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 104.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 77c | 102.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 76c | 101.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 88.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 62c | 84.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 77c | 71.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 62c | 67.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 24c | 67.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 52c | 67.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…7d52backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 65c | 57.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 24c | 53.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…4840backed Over | 67c | 53.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.