TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over54c160,700$86,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,345.946358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c47,375$23,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,871.413,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under47c42,757$19,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,796.563452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c23,283$10,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,778.0410553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under47c15,791$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,291.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c14,293$6,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,663.941,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under47c10,859$5,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,755.22759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under47c7,153$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.847057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c5,578$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.6133244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under46c4,318$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.715133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.995461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198e…e391backed Under48c3,749$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c3,233$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.7517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over12c3,000$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.926844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under46c2,570$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.457254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over57c2,286$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3009856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c1,393$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.2335856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c1,383$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.9814157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c1,225$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.934144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c1,200$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0418545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over53c1,179$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6256435.9%23 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60513461.9%83 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908243.9%36 W · 46 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Under46c999.86$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over26c918$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.687424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c899.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9924258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over54c875.93$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over14c795.21$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over54c681.01$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7510642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c669.07$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3572934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c667$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.855145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…8621backed Over20c602.87$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.681428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3245455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083520%7 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over17c565.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.999532.6%31 W · 64 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c557.58$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.611,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c548.12$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6430647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.222854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.212858.6%75 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over54c535.19$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2893158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2655870.7%41 W · 17 L+10.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c465.45$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25618759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010863%68 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under47c460$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.814355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22831145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Over3c394.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.813859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.813254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over54c353.7$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1915848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Over54c302.13$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over42c290$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.84254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c281.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4412157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over29c275$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.11776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011857.6%68 W · 50 L+15.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over37c259.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under46c245.8$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.193129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.212259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.211259.8%67 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.212458.9%73 W · 51 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.210360.2%62 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.212657.9%73 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2515453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under64c213.88$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.376659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c210.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4237344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10813957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10612757.5%73 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1093560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1068155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Over54c191.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.321457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c185.42$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.424949%24 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over55c182.76$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under47c180$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611759.8%70 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c170.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.63250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Over54c170.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over12c169.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…b798backed Over54c163.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.87057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over47c158.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0912843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under47c153.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.511661.2%71 W · 45 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2926433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.