TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c17,361$7,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.433,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over79c2,540$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.413461.9%83 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over46c2,100$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.943966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over66c2,074$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.98068.8%55 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x638f…d9afbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.938748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6506844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c933.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.551,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over77c730.63$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0434144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032487.5%21 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+36%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over71c633.8$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.838055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over56c600$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under37c512.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7948658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3558243.9%36 W · 46 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.552470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over45c442.22$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under22c412.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.119532.6%31 W · 64 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c399.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.999062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over66c398.53$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.732744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c390.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.052,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over69c353.54$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.957067.1%47 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c339.75$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7522157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over37c288$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c283.51$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5114260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over77c259.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4620957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14026433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over78c249.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556583.1%54 W · 11 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over44c248.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.663076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over79c245.58$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.579250%46 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over44c240.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.915127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under23c240.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3863645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3911857.6%68 W · 50 L+15.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4448146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over53c182.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8510728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under37c171.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1630647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over41c162.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.775052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over44c161.36$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.361250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.291478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.572853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over77c142.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8537344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over61c135.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3225352.2%132 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over44c114.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3712635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644454.5%24 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6410648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.271283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4238845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5634655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over58c95.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c87.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2349647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c79.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5511943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over74c67.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6822562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over55c66.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3411955.5%66 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over50c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a7…bc03backed Over78c60.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over78c59.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.234785.1%40 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over44c59.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.411070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.825547.3%26 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.824658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c56.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5220753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over33c55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.852268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.25per pick43cpaid+60.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.58660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Over27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c46.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6821540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under52c45.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.879658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Under57c43.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4613066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.728665.1%56 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.655354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c34.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under48c34.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4620153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf0…82b4backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8d…c28dbacked Over74c29.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under41c29.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c00…4116backed Under58c29.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0865…3d2cbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8926…04d0backed Under38c27.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7048…13d5backed Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under57c25.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.886659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f47…63d7backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.