Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959007ac1445c5a13e413e087528569b4ea620ae73bd9d99af6376e1b68c73c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 41c | 20,113$8,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,867.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 60c | 8,919$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 6,749$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 6,584$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.46 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 3,773$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.6 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 40c | 2,100$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 62c | 1,913$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.38 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 39c | 1,248$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 39c | 1,112$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.47 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 57c | 888$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 34c | 715$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 575.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.79 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Under | 48c | 537.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 60c | 526$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2157backed Over | 57c | 349.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 60c | 331.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 59c | 211.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 43c | 187.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Over | 59c | 169.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 166.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 62c | 162.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 38c | 158$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 66c | 135$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 132.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 39c | 119.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 41c | 117.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 110.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +151%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 59c | 85.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 21c | 77.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…c9b2backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Over | 60c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 39c | 59.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 41c | 46.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 48c | 38.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 40c | 35.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 41c | 31.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…cf27backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 22.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…c8b4backed Over | 62c | 19.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 61c | 17.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Under | 73c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.