Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d37b5b3b962b1dba2d3692abe944be779ec2497a48622d50c48b0fe88e9641e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 42c | 8,500$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 58c | 5,837$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.51 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,100$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 787.13$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 31c | 764.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 60c | 417.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 60c | 333.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 36c | 290.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 40c | 268.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 162.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 58c | 138$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 42c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 63c | 83.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 73.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…4d9ebacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 55.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 59c | 50.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 58c | 41.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 38.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 43c | 35.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…3654backed Yes | 58c | 32.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 44c | 31.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 39c | 27.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…2778backed Yes | 58c | 26.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef7…8420backed No | 43c | 26.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…7e2bbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…7e09backed Yes | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 58c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.