Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc4bb671b0faf5ee793c0a0c6afa5fc4409bbff30c7709888a31c6fcfd5bca4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 42c | 81,843$34,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,752.63 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 44c | 76,000$33,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,440 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 65,066$37,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,850.99 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 57c | 23,300$13,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,019 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 14,647$9,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.66 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 41c | 12,000$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.05 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 42c | 11,887$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.46 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 56c | 7,719$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.34 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 6,088$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.92 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…21cfbacked Over | 59c | 5,234$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.94 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 58c | 4,763$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.41 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 58c | 4,345$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.15 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 57c | 3,811$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.53 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.96 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 57c | 3,479$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 56c | 3,400$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.99 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…f0aabacked Over | 75c | 3,115$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 58c | 2,082$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.88 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…deb2backed Over | 53c | 2,081$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over | 76c | 2,068$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 58c | 1,939$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 76c | 1,868$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 67c | 1,781$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 57c | 1,758$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Over | 58c | 1,528$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.97 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 1,244$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.71 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 1,145$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.9 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Under | 28c | 1,078$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 993$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.06 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 58c | 982$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.72 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Under | 42c | 935.81$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 43c | 881.4$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 799.05$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 58c | 791$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 42c | 720.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 23c | 719.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 40c | 701.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 79c | 700$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 605.85$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 58c | 560.34$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 57c | 559$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 58c | 504.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 54c | 449.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 57c | 443.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 42c | 416.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 58c | 393.83$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 58c | 392.24$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 40c | 387.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 354$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 36c | 333.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 58c | 331.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.46 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 34c | 252.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 58c | 240.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 45c | 221.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 58c | 214.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 214.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 57c | 214.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 59c | 207.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Over | 61c | 202.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 51c | 195.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.