TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No30c9,728$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.316,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c8,097$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.152,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes54c4,968$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.393740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes55c4,454$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.5728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Yes76c2,625$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.32466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked No45c2,020$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.171040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c1,711$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.5251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c1,515$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.064,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c1,285$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.3830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No16c1,249$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.626333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes54c1,097$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c1,088$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.251,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c1,087$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.581,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes75c933.33$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.338158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2769150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Yes80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No37c410.03$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.191,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.419154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes75c400.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.521650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes56c360.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2810847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.148666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes78c313.69$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes74c299.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7810569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes55c272.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.179053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6735347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.167050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes74c261$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.869357%53 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes54c249.87$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9437342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No46c246.47$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1939948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes55c241.76$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.799242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes54c241.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906347.6%30 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8215560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes56c179.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.784129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5731746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes55c161.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.826157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes74c151.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.352737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked Yes76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Yes55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.362458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes74c135.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2718562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c128.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes61c123.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.88354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes77c115$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1841760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1414551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No22c93.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9115461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes55c90.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.435334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No46c82.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3655955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes54c79.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.792045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.87855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb56…588abacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d8…5145backed Yes56c61.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…28cbbacked Yes79c59.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes55c58.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.36558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed No45c58.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.559245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a80…cfdcbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a4…fc81backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No46c54.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0913152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked No28c54.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1241343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1274256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Yes55c52.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.773661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Yes77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52556%14 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe670…aa55backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49bb…27bdbacked Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4514252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…80dfbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…0518backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…8910backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c21…5b0bbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.825250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed No45c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4712968.2%88 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.