Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a033124544b94b826553b5c00947cac30100d32ff2644685b07e5eb1a70741c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 9,728$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 8,097$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.15 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 54c | 4,968$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 55c | 4,454$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.57 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Yes | 76c | 2,625$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked No | 45c | 2,020$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 1,711$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.52 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,515$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 1,285$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 16c | 1,249$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 54c | 1,097$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.57 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 1,087$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 410.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes | 75c | 400.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 56c | 360.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 78c | 313.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 55c | 272.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 74c | 261$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 54c | 249.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 246.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 241.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 54c | 241.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 56c | 179.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 55c | 161.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 74c | 151.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 128.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 61c | 123.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 22c | 93.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 55c | 90.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 46c | 82.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 54c | 79.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…588abacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…5145backed Yes | 56c | 61.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…28cbbacked Yes | 79c | 59.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 55c | 58.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 45c | 58.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a80…cfdcbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…fc81backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 46c | 54.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 28c | 54.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Yes | 55c | 52.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe670…aa55backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…27bdbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…80dfbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…0518backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…8910backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c21…5b0bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.